The IEA released its latest Electricity Report this week, forecasting that total global power system growth will consume 100% of all renewables growth, thus leaving the fossil fuel underlayer safe, and intact. This also adds to the evidence we should be using an Additive, rather than a Transformative model to gauge the evolution of the energy transition. In the Transformative model, renewables eat into the fossil fuel underlayer, as FF power shrinks. In the Additive model, renewables wind up as a new layer on top of all other resources.
IEA Report: https://www.iea.org/reports/electricity-2025
Energy Transition model analysis: https://www.coldeye.earth/p/momentum-lost
Polite suggestion: if you are going to make an argument against this trend, please at least bring some data to the table rather than hunches and feels.
IEA Electricity Report confirms no decarbonization progress will be made in global power 2024-2027
byu/GregorMacdonald inenergy
by GregorMacdonald
3 comments
IEA has underestimated renewable growth for decades. Many climate scientists have underestimated global heating. But calling for more renewable investments is a positive here.
Brought to you by the people who have been consistently wrong on everything.
Year after year after year after year.
Why is anyone still giving them the time of day?
Sorry next generation. We fucked you because we couldn’t over come this gerontocracy.
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