>Berlin (dpa) **-** Russia intends to test Western unity, especially with regard to NATO’s collective defence clause, according to Bruno Kahl, the head of Germany’s BND intelligence service.
>In an interview with Deutsche Welle broadcaster, he said Russia was considering testing the reliability of NATO’s Article 5, which states that an attack on one ally must be treated as an attack on all.
>”We very much hope this is not true and that we will not be put in the difficult position of it being tested. However, we must assume that Russia wants to test us, to put the unity of the West to the test,” Kahl said.
>The timing of a Russian test of NATO’s collective defence clause depends on the course of the war in Ukraine, according to Kahl.
>If the war ends earlier than 2029 or 2030, this would enable Russia to use its technical, material and personnel resources to build up a threat against Europe sooner, he noted.
>”It is also possible that a concrete threat or blackmail attempt from Russia against Europeans could occur earlier than previously calculated,” Kahl said.
>”An early end to the war in Ukraine would enable the Russians to direct their energy where they actually want it, namely against Europe.”
>Kahl said Russia envisions a future world order resembling the situation in Europe in the late 1990s, with NATO’s protective presence pushed back and Russia’s sphere of influence expanding westward — ideally without an American presence in Europe.
See uudis on küll külmaks dušiks kõigile, kes arvavad, et Venemaa ei söanda rünnata ühtegi NATO liiget. Saksa välisluure andmetel kaalutakse Kremlis artikkel 5 testimist.
Ühtlasi kui ukrainlased on sunnitud alla kirjutama “rahulepingule” (=allaandmislepingule) enne 2029. või 2030. aastat, annab see Venemaale võimaluse suunata vabanenud ressursid ümber Euroopa ähvardamiseks. Jällegi pole mu sõnad, vaid Saksa välisluure juhi avalik hinnang.
Tekkinud olukorras on kaitsekulude suurendamine ja EL-i kaitsekoostöö süvendamine kõige suurem prioriteet, mida ei tohiks varjutada teised teemad.
Taani luure raport eelmisest kuust ütleb suht sama.
“The DDIS report assessed that Russia may be able to wage war with a neighboring country within six month if it is able to reallocate military resources from Ukraine in the event of a frozen conflict or the end of the war. The report also concluded that Moscow poses a regional threat to Baltic states within two years, and a large-scale war with Europe in five years, presuming the U.S. does not intervene.” [src](https://kyivindependent.com/russia-may-find-opportunity-to-launch-large-scale-war-on-europe-within-5-years-danish-intelligence-warns/)
bro been testing us since 2014… whats new
parandan ära: German intelligence chief says the water is wet.
Euroopa suurim mure on see, et soovitakse asju lahendada diplomaatiliselt ja loodetakse, et kõik lihtsalt laheneb. Samas oleks korrektne lihtsalt viia 100 000 liitlast idapiirile (sh Ukrainasse) ja öelda, et see on 30 aastat kestev harjutus.
5 comments
>Berlin (dpa) **-** Russia intends to test Western unity, especially with regard to NATO’s collective defence clause, according to Bruno Kahl, the head of Germany’s BND intelligence service.
>In an interview with Deutsche Welle broadcaster, he said Russia was considering testing the reliability of NATO’s Article 5, which states that an attack on one ally must be treated as an attack on all.
>”We very much hope this is not true and that we will not be put in the difficult position of it being tested. However, we must assume that Russia wants to test us, to put the unity of the West to the test,” Kahl said.
>The timing of a Russian test of NATO’s collective defence clause depends on the course of the war in Ukraine, according to Kahl.
>If the war ends earlier than 2029 or 2030, this would enable Russia to use its technical, material and personnel resources to build up a threat against Europe sooner, he noted.
>”It is also possible that a concrete threat or blackmail attempt from Russia against Europeans could occur earlier than previously calculated,” Kahl said.
>”An early end to the war in Ukraine would enable the Russians to direct their energy where they actually want it, namely against Europe.”
>Kahl said Russia envisions a future world order resembling the situation in Europe in the late 1990s, with NATO’s protective presence pushed back and Russia’s sphere of influence expanding westward — ideally without an American presence in Europe.
See uudis on küll külmaks dušiks kõigile, kes arvavad, et Venemaa ei söanda rünnata ühtegi NATO liiget. Saksa välisluure andmetel kaalutakse Kremlis artikkel 5 testimist.
Ühtlasi kui ukrainlased on sunnitud alla kirjutama “rahulepingule” (=allaandmislepingule) enne 2029. või 2030. aastat, annab see Venemaale võimaluse suunata vabanenud ressursid ümber Euroopa ähvardamiseks. Jällegi pole mu sõnad, vaid Saksa välisluure juhi avalik hinnang.
Tekkinud olukorras on kaitsekulude suurendamine ja EL-i kaitsekoostöö süvendamine kõige suurem prioriteet, mida ei tohiks varjutada teised teemad.
Taani luure raport eelmisest kuust ütleb suht sama.
“The DDIS report assessed that Russia may be able to wage war with a neighboring country within six month if it is able to reallocate military resources from Ukraine in the event of a frozen conflict or the end of the war. The report also concluded that Moscow poses a regional threat to Baltic states within two years, and a large-scale war with Europe in five years, presuming the U.S. does not intervene.” [src](https://kyivindependent.com/russia-may-find-opportunity-to-launch-large-scale-war-on-europe-within-5-years-danish-intelligence-warns/)
bro been testing us since 2014… whats new
parandan ära: German intelligence chief says the water is wet.
Euroopa suurim mure on see, et soovitakse asju lahendada diplomaatiliselt ja loodetakse, et kõik lihtsalt laheneb. Samas oleks korrektne lihtsalt viia 100 000 liitlast idapiirile (sh Ukrainasse) ja öelda, et see on 30 aastat kestev harjutus.
Comments are closed.