338Canada Federal Election Model – a Liberal majority Government is now the most likely outcome if there was an election tomorrow | LPC: 177, CPC: 132, BQ: 25, NDP: 7, GRN: 2.

Posted by ShreckAndDonkey123

11 comments

  2. For context, this is the first time in several years the Liberals have had more than a 50% chance of forming a majority Government at the next GE per 338Canada’s model.

    CPC Majority – 99% chance (44 days ago) -> CPC Majority – 1% chance (today)

    This turnaround is pretty crazy.

  3. Looks like PeePee really pissed away his lead!

    *Seinfeld bass line*

  4. Projections, based on a system running “simulations”…. So, it means nothing, got it

  5. Is there an election tomorrow? Maybe focus on when it matters.

  7. Crazy that LPC and BQ would even come together to form a coalition (at least according to the article). I always thought it would have been more likely a LPC and NDP coalition would form (even tho the last coalition wasn’t the most successful for either party imo).

  8. Shouldn’t Carney call an early election like right away then? Secure his spot as PM while still in the honeymoon period? In 8 months, everything could change.

  9. Trump could’ve had a very friendly government to his admin if he was capable of shutting the fuck up.

  11. Pretty hilarious that Trump winning totally destroyed the carefully executed lead that the Conservatives had cultivated against some pretty obvious Liberal shortcomings under Trudeau. I’d be very surprised if they had a fighting chance now

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