Bill Gates: Within 10 years, AI will replace many doctors and teachers—humans won’t be needed ‘for most things’

38 comments

1. How are people gonna survive?

2. Yeah yeah sure. Give this another 30 years.

3. I understand that you can build robots and write AI to do certain tasks, but to the extent of a Dr or teacher. Kids are not 100% capable of listening and paying attention and need gentle redirection and for patients with a Dr they also may need someone looking at them and noticing visual conditions. I see robots and AI as a tool, not able to be trusted 100% for a whole task.

4. So the robot revolution where humans won’t have to work anymore will happen… after I’m retired!!?

5. He said this in February, before the LLM started to plateau.

6. I have my doubts

7. in 2016, the rage was about driverless cars and how truck drivers would become a job of the past.

   we’re getting close to the 10 yrs mark and nothing happened

8. And what do we do in the absence of those jobs? There’s a tipping point where people will get paid to do nothing because there’s just not enough work. Will capitalism be a thing?

9. Isn’t it funny how everyone who says this always has a monetary interest in this happening?

   But everyone actually using these tools only sees it as one more tool in the toolbox.

10. Um. No. I love people

11. The impact of AI on our beliefs will far out weigh the impact on us from jobs disruptions. Our brains are already augmented by the cloud, AI will either teach what is real or lock us out of the way in a fantasy.

12. Says the ex-CEO of a company who itself has admitted that currently AI is not all its hyped up to be and has gone so far as to reduce its energy and expansion plans for AI.

    Also even if this was true, this would be a disaster even for the billionaire class. Most economies, especially western, is made up of what – 80 or 85% consumerism. If people don’t have jobs with more than sufficient salaries where they can carry on life like they do right now, the economy will collapse, and truly collapse. Like, irreversibly collapse. So at that point it’ll be either get rid of robots OR you actually will have to provide a universal income that is high enough for people to be able to spend spend spend.

13. In 10 years, I hope he is dead.

14. Wrong

15. So this is not going to happen.

16. These thought leaders don’t understand how humans are already adapting with AI tools. They just push a narrative where nobody dethrones their empire and become their economic slaves. I am not sending my kid to a robot for education and health. Maybe a human who uses AI effectively and not the way around

17. Is this the part where the average Joe finally benefits from a massive AI driven increase in productivity?

18. This won’t come to fruition in 10 years. Not even in 25.

19. Many tasks teachers and doctors are doing will be automated within 10 years.

    I don’t think we will see any doctor out of jobs. We will see the doctors having less paperwork, be more efficient and provide better care with better tooling.

    Similar with teachers. A teacher job is more complex than “teaching”. He is inspiring, animating, framing mind and so on. Kids won’t go through the school program with chatGPT behind a screen.

    You already have “self serve” online courses for autonomous people. They fill a need but not all of it.

20. For what it’s worth, I’ve heard similar from tech “visionaries” for the past 20 years. Gates has never been at the forefront of innovation (witness the Zune, the MS Phone, Windows) so this may simply be more of his thinking inside the box.

21. I am extremely skeptical of this narrative. AI will be a tool that helps humans work more efficiently. If we do it right, it will handle the mundane tasks that don’t require creativity and are tedious. I am not sure about the accuracy for Doctors. There is also the whole human empathy thing. AI currently has an accuracy problem. We may run into other issues that we can’t foresee.

22. Yea considering how bad AI is at programming half the time I don’t think I want to rely on a doctor who’s not human. That seems insane.

23. Just in time for the billionaires to cull a few billion people, that are no longer needed.

    Just kidding, they would obviously never do that.
    Well, maybe start a a minor world war, but nothing too serious 🙂

24. And cars have been flying since the 40s

25. No one will ever replace an on site welder.

    Except…I had a thought long ago about being able to “beam in” a weld into wherever it’s needed. On the same idea as just about any science fiction movie.

    But no one is even thinking about that process are they? Certainly not within the next 10 years.

26. But I want to have human interactions for these services.

27. he ‘s right but human learn how to adap. Be confident

28. 10 years? Sure, maybe in a couple isolated cases it will. Definitely not country wide and especially not worldwide.

29. Sounds like something nobody wants.

30. Doctors can be replaced, nurses can’t.

    I already trust an A.I. more than a doctor to check suspicious moles and change medication doses based on blood tests. I do not trust a robot to start an IV or make sure an elderly family member is taking their meds.

31. Did this person ever had a real teacher? Does he not realize that a teacher isn’t just there to spit out knowledge?

32. Or we could just not do this and make sure we still have purposes that provide a loop of struggle>satisfaction. Otherwise we are just making life kind of pointless.

33. Japan has already been doing this already to some extent.

34. Is that supposed to be good??????????? Naaahhh, then WHY do it???????????????? 

35. Yeah fucking right. Every AI that I have seen is fucking useless, and I don’t think that will change in a decade.

36. Can’t wait for the AI to replace the C-level folks.

37. That’s bullshit and he *knows* it. AI has no fidelity, it constantly “hallucinates” aka **LIES**. It’s a shame because they’re relying on something that should be no more than a tool.

    I heard someone describe AI as “talking to the worlds biggest mad lib” and I think about that constantly. We’re beyond fucked if we start relying on this kind of software while ignoring and firing experts. This will result in nothing more than to keep and hoard profits for themselves while others suffer needlessly.

    He’s a shameless ghoul.

38. Hopefully replace Microsoft.

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