Early look at hurricane season predicts over a dozen named storms. But El Niño could change things

2 comments

1. It’s only spring, but some weather forecasters are already focusing on this year’s Atlantic hurricane season.

   The season, which spans June through November, is [shaping up to be a busy one](https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/03/weather/hurricane-season-forecast-climate/index.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=reddit), according to hurricane researchers at Colorado State University.

   CSU’s team of experts is calling for an above-average hurricane season consisting of 17 named storms with sustained winds of at least 39 mph. They expect nine storms will become hurricanes and four will strengthen into major hurricanes — Category 3 or stronger.

   This year’s outlook isn’t quite as bullish as last year’s spot-on prediction of 11 hurricanes, but it is significant. The forecast of nine hurricanes is tied for the second-highest amount predicted in the 30 years the team has issued long-range hurricane forecasts in April.

   CSU has called for nine hurricanes in their longest-range report seven other times, most recently in 2022 and 2024, according to Phil Klotzbach, a senior research scientist at CSU and the lead author of the hurricane forecast.

2. lol.

   El Nino will *definitely* change things. This is going to be the “perfect storm” between gutting FEMA, stronger storms due to climate change, massively increased property values in Florida *and* the fact that the homeowners insurance industry is pretty much already flatlined in the state.

   If south Florida gets hit with a cat 5+ it could very possibly be a $1 Trillion storm.

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