Belarus and Russia ‘ready to target Nato’, says Kremlin spy chief

4 comments

1. From the Times:

   The Belarusian and Russian security services are preparing to take “preemptive” measures against Nato member states, the Kremlin’s spy chief has said.

   Sergei Naryshkin, head of Russia’s SVR foreign intelligence service, accused Nato of an increase in military activity near the borders of the two countries. Belarus is Russia’s strongest ally in Europe and the Kremlin has used its territory for attacks on Ukraine. Moscow also says it has transferred tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus.

   “We feel and see that European countries, especially France, Britain and Germany, are increasing the level of escalation around the Ukrainian conflict, so we need to act preemptively. We are ready for this,” Naryshkin said during talks with Alexander Lukashenko, the Belarusian dictator, in Minsk

2. Already been the case for years.

3. NATO have been jarred into action too, since Trump’s inauguration, so I reckon we’re probably just about ready too. I’ve seen an incredible amount of military activity lately on FR24, today for example, USAF F15s and RAF Eurofighters exercising over the North Sea, with tankers airborne too. This has been going on for months, long enough for combat readiness I’m sure.

4. I don’t see the upsides for Russia, to engage with NATO.

   It is a conflict they would never win, and at worst would result in a nuclear conflict. Even without any US involvement.

   The only real and tested strategy that has worked for them (Russia), has been to influence and slowly annex small parts of ex-Soviet countries. That is, until the invasion of Ukraine.

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