IEA has systemically underestimated solar PV. Even their most progressive World Energy Outlook scenarios have vastly underestimated the growth of renewable energy.

5 comments

1. Inferior Energy Analysis.

2. Water is wet

3. I don’t know their methodology but I suspect they only publish 95% probable predictions. These tend to be wrong 100% of the time.

4. How and why are they so wrong every single year? Shouldn’t they fire these people and get better ones? What is going on?

5. The IEA was Made in the ’70s to forecast oil demand, for a long time that’s what it did, it’s only in the past couple years that they’ve actually started to really state that the energy transition is happening, and Even the underestimated forecast that they have been making are making a lot of the oil and gas industry angry, so much so that Trump threatened to withdraw from the IEA. 

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