KAJ are now viewed as having a more than 34% chance of taking victory on stage next month at the Eurovision Song Contest 2025.
According to Eurovision World’s Odds tracker, KAJ from Sweden now have a more than 34% chance of taking victory in the 69th edition of the Eurovision Song Contest. Sweden is now more than double as likely to take victory than second placed Austria, who currently sit on a 16% chance of victory, according to the betting public.
Since April 13, KAJ has gained 7.3 percentage points with the odds to take victory in Basel, the largest jump in the odds since the selection season. Czechia has also continued to grow, with the country now sitting 9th, having gained 0.7 percentage points in the past week.
Further down the odds to win, Switzerland and Cyprus have also moved forward. Cyprus is now the 14th most likely to win according to the betting public, while Switzerland has climbed four places to 17th.
The percentage chance of victory according to Eurovision World as of 17:55 CET is (change since April 13):
Sweden – Kaj – “Bara bada bastu” – 34.4% (+7.3%)
Austria – JJ – “Wasted Love” – 16.3% (-4.0%)
France – Louane – “Maman” – 8.7% (-1.7%)
Israel – Yuval Raphael – “New Day Will Rise” – 5.7% (-0.3%)
Netherlands – Claude – “C’est la vie” – 4.9% (-0.1%)
Finland – Erika Vikman – “Ich komme” – 3.6% (-0.2%)
Belgium – Red Sebastian – “Strobe Lights” – 2.9% (-0.1%)
Estonia – Tommy Cash – “Espresso macchiato” – 2.5% (-0.3%)
Czechia – Adonxs – “Kiss Kiss Goodbye” – 2.5% (+1 place, +0.8%)
Albania – Shkodra Elektronika – “Zjerm” – 1.8% (-1 place, -0.3%)
Ukraine – Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray” – 1.4% (-0.2%)
Malta – Miriana Conte – “Serving” – 1.2% (no change)
United Kingdom – Remember Monday – “What the Hell Just Happened?” – 1.0% (-0.1%)
Cyprus – Theo Evan – “Ssh” – 1.0% (+2 places, +0.1%)
Italy – Lucio Coris – “Volevo essero un duro” – 0.9% (-1 place, -0.2%)
San Marino – Gabry Ponte – “Tutta l’Italia” – 0.9% (-1 place, -0.1%)
Switzerland – Zoë Më – “Voyage” – 0.8% (+4 places, +0.1)
Greece – Klavdia – “Asteromata” – 0.8% (no change)
Australia – Go-Jo – “Milkshake Man” – 0.7% (-2 places)
Ireland – Emmy – “Laika Party” – 0.7% (-0.1%)
Lithuania – Katarsis – “Tavo akys” – 0.7% (-2 places, -0.1%)
Germany – Abor & Tynna – “Baller” – 0.7% (no change)
Norway – Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter” – 0.6% (no change)
Poland – Justyna Steczkowska – “Gaja” – 0.5% (-0.1%)
Slovenia – Klemen – “How Much Time Do We Have Left?” – 0.5% (+2 places)
Azerbaijan – Mamagama – “Run With U” – 0.5% (no change)
Spain – Melody – “Esa diva” – 0.5% (+1 place)
Denmark – Sissal – “Hallucination” – 0.4% (-3 places, -0.1%)
Georgia – Mariam Shengelia – “Freedom” – 0.3% (+1 place, -0.1%)
Serbia – Princ – “Mila” – 0.3% (+3 places, -0.1%)
Portugal – Napa – “Deslocado” – 0.3% (-2 places, -0.1%)
Luxembourg – Laura Thorn – “La poupée monte le son” – 0.3% (-1 place, -0.1%)
Armenia – Parg – “Survivor” – 0.3% (+1 place, -0.1%)
Latvia – Tautumeitas – “Bur man laimi” – 0.3% (-1 place, -0.1%)
Iceland – VÆB – “Róa” – 0.3% (+1 place, +0.3%)
Croatia – Marko Bošnjak – “Poison Cake” – 0.3% (-1 place, -0.1%)
Montenegro – Nina Žižić – “Dobrodošli” – 0.3% (no change)
Image source: Daniel Stridh | Source: Eurovision World
