Tommaso Pobega of Bologna is put under pressure by Teun Koopmeiners of Juventus during the Serie A match between Juventus and Bologna at Allianz Stadium on December 07, 2024 in Turin, Italy. (Photo by Valerio Pennicino/Getty Images)

Tommaso Pobega of Bologna is put under pressure by Teun Koopmeiners of Juventus during the Serie A match between Juventus and Bologna at Allianz Stadium on December 07, 2024 in Turin, Italy. (Photo by Valerio Pennicino/Getty Images)

While there could be a play-off for the Scudetto, the race for European places might be decided by Serie A head-to-head record, as Atalanta, Bologna, Juventus, Lazio, Roma, Fiorentina and Milan fight for supremacy.

The Serie A rules state that while some situations need to be decided by a play-off such as the Scudetto or relegation, most positions will be dictated by other criteria.

Specifically, the first statistic they need to look at is their head-to-head record.

If more than two teams finish level on points, there is a ‘classifica avulsa’ drawn up – a mini-table of all their results against each other, with three points for a victory and one for a draw.

It is very possible we’ll see this brought into play considering there are six teams now crammed within an eight-point radius stretching from Atalanta in third to Fiorentina in eighth.

Some matches are yet to be played, so the scores could still change in the head-to-head record, but others are now set in stone.

Serie A head to head records after Week 33

Atalanta

Advantage over Juventus, Bologna, Milan and (so far) Roma

Level with Fiorentina

Disadvantage with Lazio

epa12043541 Atalanta's players celebrate the goal scored by Atalanta's mildfielder Ederson during the Italian Serie A soccer match AC Milan vs Atalanta at Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan, Italy, 20 April 2025. EPA-EFE/Roberto Breganiepa12043541 Atalanta’s players celebrate the goal scored by Atalanta’s mildfielder Ederson during the Italian Serie A soccer match AC Milan vs Atalanta at Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan, Italy, 20 April 2025. EPA-EFE/Roberto Bregani

Juventus

Advantage over Milan and (so far) Lazio

Level with Roma and (so far) Bologna

Disadvantage with Atalanta and Fiorentina

epa12014617 Juventus Manuel Locatelli jubilates after scoring the opening goal during the Italian Serie A soccer match AS Roma vs Juventus FC at Olimpico stadium in Rome, Italy, 06 April 2025. EPA-EFE/ANGELO CARCONIepa12014617 Juventus Manuel Locatelli jubilates after scoring the opening goal during the Italian Serie A soccer match AS Roma vs Juventus FC at Olimpico stadium in Rome, Italy, 06 April 2025. EPA-EFE/ANGELO CARCONI

Bologna

Advantage over Lazio, Roma, (so far) Milan and Fiorentina

Level with Juventus (so far)

Disadvantage with Atalanta

BERGAMO, ITALY - APRIL 13: Dan Ndoye of Bologna controls the ball under pressure from Berat Djimsiti of Atalanta during the Serie A match between Atalanta and Bologna at Gewiss Stadium on April 13, 2025 in Bergamo, Italy. (Photo by Pier Marco Tacca/Getty Images)BERGAMO, ITALY – APRIL 13: Dan Ndoye of Bologna controls the ball under pressure from Berat Djimsiti of Atalanta during the Serie A match between Atalanta and Bologna at Gewiss Stadium on April 13, 2025 in Bergamo, Italy. (Photo by Pier Marco Tacca/Getty Images)

Lazio

Advantage over Milan and Atalanta

Level with none

Disadvantage with Fiorentina, Bologna, Roma and (so far) Juventus

MILAN, ITALY - MARCH 02: Pedro of Lazio celebrates scoring his team's second goal as Kyle Walker of AC Milan looks dejected during the Serie A match between AC Milan and SS Lazio at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on March 02, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)MILAN, ITALY – MARCH 02: Pedro of Lazio celebrates scoring his team’s second goal as Kyle Walker of AC Milan looks dejected during the Serie A match between AC Milan and SS Lazio at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on March 02, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

Roma

Advantage over Lazio

Level with Juventus and (so far) Milan)

Disadvantage with (so far) Atalanta and Fiorentina

ROME, ITALY - APRIL 13: Valentin Castellanos of SS Lazio compete for the ball with Zeki Celik of AS Roma during the Serie A match between Lazio and Roma at Stadio Olimpico on April 13, 2025 in Rome, Italy. (Photo by Marco Rosi - SS Lazio/Getty Images)ROME, ITALY – APRIL 13: Valentin Castellanos of SS Lazio compete for the ball with Zeki Celik of AS Roma during the Serie A match between Lazio and Roma at Stadio Olimpico on April 13, 2025 in Rome, Italy. (Photo by Marco Rosi – SS Lazio/Getty Images)

Fiorentina

Advantage over Juventus, Lazio, Milan and (so far) Roma

Level with Atalanta

Disadvantage with (so far) Bologna

epa11968625 Fiorentina's Rolando Mandragora celebrates scoring the 2-0 goal during the Italian Serie A soccer match between ACF Fiorentina and Juventus FC, in Florence, Italy, 16 March 2025. EPA-EFE/CLAUDIO GIOVANNINIepa11968625 Fiorentina’s Rolando Mandragora celebrates scoring the 2-0 goal during the Italian Serie A soccer match between ACF Fiorentina and Juventus FC, in Florence, Italy, 16 March 2025. EPA-EFE/CLAUDIO GIOVANNINI

Milan

Advantage over none

Level with (so far) Roma

Disadvantage with Atalanta, Juventus, Lazio, Fiorentina and (so far) Bologna

MILAN, ITALY - FEBRUARY 05: Artem Dovbyk of AS Roma scores his team's first goal during the Coppa Italia Quarter Final match between AC Milan and AS Roma at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on February 05, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)MILAN, ITALY – FEBRUARY 05: Artem Dovbyk of AS Roma scores his team’s first goal during the Coppa Italia Quarter Final match between AC Milan and AS Roma at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on February 05, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

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