Canada’s 45th Election [OC]

19 comments

1. Liberals ended up winning without doing practically anything because of the orange felon. Now if only Americans had used their brains back in November….

2. And that’s not even the final results….

3. [deleted]

4. Probably resulted in the death of the NDP and American style 2 party politics.

   To be fair, first past the post is really bad for multiparty systems. In Canada’s case they currently have a center right to right wing party, a center to center left party and a left wing party.

   If they had ranked choice voting, the conservatives would win substantially fewer seats.

5. I find it interesting that the election is often framed as major defeat for the Conservative party in the media.

   While the data shows that the centre-left camp was divided for a long time and the major catch up of the liberal party in the weeks leading to the election was mainly to the disadvantage of the NDP while the conservatives stayed relatively stable. Paired with Canada’s majoritarian voting system this lead to the liberals victory.

   So the story is not conservative voters suddly became liberal but there was a rally around the flag effect in the centre-left camp favouring the liberals (if I interpret this correctly).

6. Quite a few areas have results not seen in decades- Carleton going Liberal, Southern Ontario swinging hard to the Conservatives, Quebec having more Liberal seats now than any time Justin Trudeau (or even Jean Chrétien) was PM… pretty wild.

7. It’s quite fascinating that Conservatives didn’t really collapse much per se… NDP collapsed and the Left-leaning votes all went to Liberals.

8. Resignation of Trudeau and its replacement by Carney had lot more impact than Trump inauguration… At the end the most impactful person of this election is Chrystia Freeland which forced Trudeau resignation.

9. Are there any stats on voter turn out / vote preference by age groups?

10. Hypothesis: MAGA is an elaborate conspiracy to keep the Liberals in power.

11. Interesting choice to include Donald Trump being elected on polling data but not Trudeau resigning or Carney being elected as leader – which certainly had a greater impact on polls.

12. Constructive criticism: use a cartogram in election maps instead of raw geographic maps. Land doesn’t vote, people do.

13. That’s…way too close. Canada is just one Russian social media blitz from being run by conservatives.

14. I’m very proud to live in the one Liberal riding in Calgary!

15. so are canadian conservatives the same as US conservatives? or is the color just flipped?

16. As a Canadian I was sick of Trudeau. Like absolutely sick. I vote liberal but I was going to vote conservative. What changed my mind was Carney is just so much better a leader and I want the economy to improve . That’s #1. The liberals messed it up but I put that on Trudeau rather than the whole party.

17. The thing that strikes me about this is how the NDP appears to have just given up and walked out after Trump was inaugurated.

18. Including an irrelevant foreign event and literally none of the relevant domestic events in the polls aggregates at the bottom makes this data very unbeautiful.

19. This data is really beautiful.

    Sincerely,

    A happy Canadian

Comments are closed.