FC
Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
AF
Saturday’s game promises to be an exciting one with both teams having plenty of optimism from their starts to the season, and we give a narrow edge to FC Cincinnati to make it six wins from seven games with home advantage on their side.
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.