Holy fuck. I’ll go and just pray that Nawrocki doesn’t win.
I just saw some lunatic bet 10k usd on nawrocki.
The Russian bots tried to manipulate the odds in Polymarket in the Romanian election too.
Not flipped, just equalised so far. Flipped would see Nawrocki at 80%.
friend in need is a friend in dick
looks like a dih 💔🥀
Eh, it’s a betting site, not a pollster. Also banned in Poland.
Fun fact it should be enough if ~20% of Mentzen voters support bonżur even if some of them stay home. And that is completely doable looking at the previous elections.
edit: and by enough I mean enough for a 52/48 result, not for 50/50
It’s exactly like Romanian elections.
The extremist was up, than the whole country mobilised and it turned out well.
Romanian here. You should not take polymarket too seriously. We had Simion at 70% an he still lost. In the first round, Antonescu had the highest probability and he ended 3rd place. In the annulled elections, we had Georgescu at <1% and he won the first round. Polymarket only shows how money are distributed on the bets, nothing else, and sometimes those probabilities are manipulated by those who have lots of money for influencing the public opinion.
18 comments
Looks exactly like Canadian federal election
Szymon Zerownia
Jednym slowem… Chujnia.
“Now kiss”
o super, gdybym miał pieniądze to bym se teraz postawił na Trzaska. jestem pewien że wygra
Fun fact: Polymarket is blocked in Poland.
https://preview.redd.it/r3memt9cjz1f1.jpeg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=32091b57421f60491a69ebd576048427cfcb3007
jakby spał
Holy fuck. I’ll go and just pray that Nawrocki doesn’t win.
I just saw some lunatic bet 10k usd on nawrocki.
The Russian bots tried to manipulate the odds in Polymarket in the Romanian election too.
Not flipped, just equalised so far. Flipped would see Nawrocki at 80%.
friend in need is a friend in dick
looks like a dih 💔🥀
Eh, it’s a betting site, not a pollster. Also banned in Poland.
Fun fact it should be enough if ~20% of Mentzen voters support bonżur even if some of them stay home. And that is completely doable looking at the previous elections.
edit: and by enough I mean enough for a 52/48 result, not for 50/50
It’s exactly like Romanian elections.
The extremist was up, than the whole country mobilised and it turned out well.
Romanian here. You should not take polymarket too seriously. We had Simion at 70% an he still lost. In the first round, Antonescu had the highest probability and he ended 3rd place. In the annulled elections, we had Georgescu at <1% and he won the first round. Polymarket only shows how money are distributed on the bets, nothing else, and sometimes those probabilities are manipulated by those who have lots of money for influencing the public opinion.
https://preview.redd.it/8e6pgys5802f1.png?width=964&format=png&auto=webp&s=598eee21af2f4926de51bed202305a36b029dfb5
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