Hi Germany,
I am seeking a website or blog with unbiased viewpoint on France’s upcoming election.
I can read/write a bit and German statisticians are some of the best, as you know.
Basically France is difficult to gauge, Macron will win, but a divisive victory might lead to a contested result or riots like 2018.
I believe Putin will do anything he can to upset the French commitment to Ukraine and EU/NATO.
My opinion is If Putin fails, the Russian military will begin to see Putin’s foreign influence operations are impotent against the European Unions strong bureaucracy.
While many derided what Chancellor Merkel and others accomplished with the European Union, Germany and others quietly and firmly made a democratic federation right under Putin’s nose.
So this might be a watershed moment, and I am looking for better insight.
Anyone who is more familiar with French polling would help, too.
In America, for example, we have https://www.fivethirtyeight.com with Nate Silver and staff, they pretty good with American related analysis but not so much European.
Thank you for your attention.
Godspeed.