Children per woman:Turkey vs France

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  1. The birthrates during the 1800s is what royally fucked France. From the most popoulous nation in Europe to almost half of Germany’s population in the early 1900s.

  2. Its the Second Demographic Transition. The low birthrate people are not distributed equally across the whole of society, but concentrated in certain subcultures, and presumable in certain genetic linages. In particular the very low birthrates are typically found in left-leaning liberal/progressive groups and/or in non-religious groups. Whereas conservatives and religious people in general have a noticeable higher birthrate, and especially conservative religious people. So the low birthrate groups & individuals will slowly come to represent a smaller and smaller part of society or become completely terminated, and in turn be replaced by the high birthrate groups. This will counterweight and eventually reverse the fertility downturn.

    France entered into this transition earlier than any other country on earth, and is therefore further along in the transition. This puts the lows it can go to at a higher rate than other nations. As is typical of aspects with modernity, many non-Western nations go through this phase at a much higher pace. Meaning they have not had the time to grow the population groups which acts as counterweight to the birthrate decline. And one should expect the rate to go substantially below what one sees in France.

    The same is seen in for instance Southern Europe and East Asia.

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