Why Putin Keeps the War Going. The Kremlin Still Believes That Manpower, Missiles, and a War of Attrition Will Break Ukraine and Exhaust the West
https://sfg.media/en/a/why-putin-keeps-the-war-going/
by sergeyfomkin
Why Putin Keeps the War Going. The Kremlin Still Believes That Manpower, Missiles, and a War of Attrition Will Break Ukraine and Exhaust the West
https://sfg.media/en/a/why-putin-keeps-the-war-going/
by sergeyfomkin
38 comments
Putin keeps the war going because he doesn’t give a shit about Russia, he only cares about Putin. The war gives him more power, popularity and it lets him play conqueror instead of just playing dictator. Once the war ends, that’s all done, and Russia will suffer an economic collapse completely tanking his popularity. It would be better for Russia to end this asap, but it would be worse for Putin, so he continues.
Putin knows he can’t win the war. His plan has been to use political means to stop the West from supporting Ukraine. He succeeded with the orange dimwit in the USA, but he failed in both France and Germany. And that’s plenty to make certain he can’t win militarily. For EU, supporting Ukraine is a financial inconvenience. For Russia, fighting the war takes everything they have. They are gonna break first, and they know it.
NATO is expanding and Europe is returning to a militant stance and no longer relying on the US for its weapons and ammunition.
Shit, if anything, a lot of EU companies are remembering that there’s a lot of money to be made in supplying European armies against an existential threat like Russia. There are plenty of people who remember The Bad Old Days when Russia dominated Eastern Europe.
If anything, the West has a lot of powerful incentives to have the war continue because the West is winning ‘and’ improving its political, military and social and cultural stances all at the same time.
If Russia had pretend for another 20 years to not be a threat, they’d still be considered the #2 military in the world(and how silly does that sound now?) and NATO very well could have fallen apart instead of growing larger and incredibly relevant again.
They keep the war going because weapon manufacturers are making a shit tonn of money on it
It’s a sunk cost situation.
Just like I play Age of Empires when I’m certain it’s a total loss yet still have invested in heavy artillery stuff.
First get rid of all the low grade stuff for the distraction and to free up some space.
After that, just go all in and see what will happen.
It doesn’t end well, but that’s expected.
Because he simply can’t end the war. [Recommend this video short](https://www.youtube.com/shorts/vbwh_ikguvw)
West has more money, more people, and better technology. Bring it on.
False
Putin won’t be alive to see the demographic tipping point he’s driving his country over but at least future generations are likely to be more secure from Russian aggression when they simply don’t have the number to fight in the only style of war at which they are capable.
Like Satanyahu, Putin needs a constant war to stay out of jail, or in his case, much worse.
Putin now literally can’t stop this war even if wanted to. He learned Afganistan war lessons very well – cooling down Soviet economics after war had stopped benefited to the fall of the Soviet union and following collapse of economic. And soldiers, who have returned from this war , become the base of most brutal gangs in 90s. Putin’s understands very well, in what Russia will turn to if hundreds of thousands soldiers will now return.
It is an acceptable strategy, but only as long as the economy functions. The West has not squeezed the balls yet, and in effect, squandered three years. Of course, there are geopolitical aspects to this, mostly distortedly Machiavellian, in my view.
Ironically, the war has meant that their power has weakened almost everywhere else. Syria is lost to them it seems, Iran has crumbled fairly quickly, Armenia and non NATO European countries have gone to the Wests fold. What do they have after that? Some Saharan dictatorships that pledge support? Sure the money they get is not to be underestimated, but I don’t think that makes up for their loss of status as a king maker they were under Obama.
There aren’t that enough Russians to wear us out.
Translation putin hopes his other plants in other nations win enough elections so it can be a similar event to what happened with the US.
This seems to be their strategy get enough “anti” war people in so urkaine can be abandoned.
Realistically. What’s stopping another country from taking over Russia if they exhausted the population density? Besides a missile I mean.
The more Russian soldiers lost, the more money that remains for Putin and his henchmen.
On the latest Ukrainecast episode it was suggested that Russia won’t go into direct was with NATO as they’d lose.
Instead they aim to install a pro-Russian in Ukraine, then do to Lithuania what they’re doing to Ukraine and so on… while aiming get more pro-Russian leaders in.
Also, they will keep attacking accross the whole of Europe as they currently are, such as setting things on fire.
They’ll try to cause doubt across NATO that the alliance will come to help as they keep doing “smaller” attacks that allies will be hesitant to retaliate over.
Division is their weapon
Exhaust the west? We’re not even fighting
Edit:were not fighting yet*. I meant that if we were to get involved Russia would be finished in a matter of days.
This is actually concerning and must be dealt with. Their strategy is based on analysis (not saying it’s correct though), so they see victory opportunity.
Our target should be to cut those opportunities, and make them seek for peace instead.
That require some actual strategy and actions. Not just saying “putin evil so will never stop war”. This is true not because he’s just evil, but because he’s also acting rationally. He’s not a suicider type. Europe must stop him pro-actively.
Of course he worries it won’t, but at this point he has no choice but to continue.
How long did ww2 last? 6 years in the west and 8 years in the east. Similarly, it’s possible to continue fighting longer, and seemly both sides are likely to negotiate though.
Unfortunately he is likely right. Especially Europe. Spain doesn’t even want to boost their spending on military to 5%.
Italy by itself has a GDP of 2 Trillion dollars about equal to russia. Europe combined and coordinated can totally squeeze russia to the brink. But there’s enough cowardice and division preventing any decisive and timely action.
He can’t end it, he needs to push west and he doesn’t have the manpower to get it done in the decades to come. So this is the final push, he’s hoping to hit a tipping point.
Looks like both sides have the same strategy
*because he keeps getting paid by Europe and no one actually cares to stop him*
Pretty easy.
I feel if Ukraine had proper deep strike weapons, they’d be able to turn far more of the public against the war. Right now most Russians aren’t directly affected by the war since Ukraine doesn’t really have many missiles to strike into russian territory (and the drones they fire are mostly shot down). Imagine if Ukraine had ample missiles (perhaps tomahawks) to hit ports, rail yards, factories, etc. That would crater the russian economy (who will want to invest in a place where industries can get destroyed), spike insurance rates, and turn more people against the war. Considering how much russia pounds ukraine with cruise missiles and drones, it’s only fair that ukraine be allowed to do the same against military and dual-use infrastructure in russia.
He is a dictator. He lives on projection of power. Without it could be his literal death.
Putin thought they would win easily and now there is no choice but to keep fighting at all costs.
He’s right. On May 10 the EU called for sanctions if no 30 day ceasefire is agreed; all talk.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-10/what-s-next-on-russia-sanctions-if-putin-balks-at-ceasefire-call
Why wouldn’t Vova think that he can win? Europe keeps moving too slow, reacting, delivering weapons well past the window of opportunity, etc.
The US has already peaced out, it took the UA embassy 2 days to react to the recent bombings of Kyiv. Maybe they were out of town.
Ie. sunk cost fallacy. “If I just keep on doing what I’ve always done, things will turn out different in the end”
Bro the West isn’t even committed on an appreciable level. Europe is throwing barely more than peanuts at Ukraine because they still have this delusion that they can go back to doing business with Russia
he forgets that Ukraine is also in war economy and a lot of money is poured into R&D.
And that Europe has deeper pockets.
Hello vlad, enjoying “new money”? Let me introduce you to “old money”. lol.
We have been lied and lied about the Ukraine. Ukraine, as the rest of former Soviiet republics was and is corrupt. Corruption in Ukraine is monumental. They had the biggest weapon pile after collapse of the SSSR. So, where are those weapons?
Exhaust the west? Regular people in the west can’t even feel there is a war going on. I hope we triple all our military aid and sanctions.
Russia is killing itself.
It’s the layman’s definition of insanity: keep trying the same and expect a different result.
The question is why Zelensky, Germany , France etc keep the war going.
Because of money
No he’s staying in the flight waiting for his agent in the White House to switch sides. I give it 6 months
The West barely notices this war while Russia bleeds out. What backwater hubris Russia is suffering from.
When this is done, the remaining Soviet satellites will have detached and China will be back in Siberia.
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