[OC] Eurovision Song Contest result analysis: Grand final performance youtube views over televote points weighted by the population of the voting country.

25 comments

1. Source data to calculate weighted televote points: [https://eurovisionworld.com/eurovision/2025#scoreboard-public](https://eurovisionworld.com/eurovision/2025#scoreboard-public)

   Source for the grand final views: [https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=esc+2025+austria](https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=esc+2025+austria)
   (I typed all 26 countries into the youtube search individually. I hope one example link is sufficient here)

   Plotted with Python: matplotlib.

2. This has to be the worst linear correlation i’ve ever seen.

3. Albania still seriously underrated

4. Is this saying that single person in Estonia has watched Eurovision on Youtube 18 times in the last month?? That’s absolutely wild, especially compared to the UK, where each person has watched it about 0.03 times.

5. Suffice to say Israel’s Eurovision televotes are at best incredibly odd and at worst HIGHLY suspicious, especially considering how easy it would be for an organized group of people with large funding to manipulate it.

6. Why are the televote points weighted? Population has no bearing on the voting score, the winner of the televote in a country will get 12 points from that country, whether it’s Germany or San Marino

7. Interesting idea, but I’mpretty sure that more people watch the Final on TV than they do on YouTube. I’m wondering how much that changes the results.

8. This is too confusing to me. can someone explain?

9. Soneone read too much polandball i think

10. Is the Polish flag an homage to a certain webcomic?

11. It’s what happens when you allow the public up to 20 votes each. Your average voter will make 1-5 votes. Your statement/fanatic voter will vote all 20 times. This causes a skew in the results.

12. I’m unsure what to comment about the graph as a whole. But, one thought that came to me is that perhaps Spain gathers views from hispanophones in Latin America, which might explain its position compared to other countries. Comparatively, I don’t think other anglophones or lusophones (or even francophones) care as much about the event to afford the same attention to it. This hypothesis could just as easily be wrong, though.

13. As much as I would like to argue that this shows how much Austria deserved the win (I’m Austrian lol), taking the views from June 24th is not necessarily representative of how popular each song was “organically” before the finals. I’m sure JJ’s video got a lot more views *after* he won… *because* he won.

14. I guess we can see that something is definitely wrong with the score of a few countries

15. Might be interesting to do the same but with Spotify data instead of YouTube, see if the pattern holds

16. Israel’s bots don’t see youtube videos

17. Sweden being perfectly on the line, as we should be

18. This is based on watching the contest live ON YOUTUBE ¿?!¡

    No… the results are not skewed… not at all 🤣🤦

    edit:

    1. that’s no even views on live stream, but cumulative until now.

    this usually correlate to the population size of the origin country, and not to the voting score.

    small countries will have fewer views than larger ones.

    therefore, large countries with low vote count will result above the line, and vice versa.

    2. it doesn’t count watching/ listening on other platforms like radio/ TV… and.. spottily, and those are substantial.

19. Doesn’t this happen every year since the wall fell. Could someone track the data from previous years to show how bullshit the whole competition is.

20. Not suspicious at all! Move along!

21. Can you do a log-log plot?

22. r/eurovision bans on sight any discussion of the obvious cheater

23. It’ll never stop being funny that Israel is part of Eurovision when it’s not even a European country. It’s in Asia.

    But well, it shows what Israel truly wants to be perceived as.

24. People really care way too much about this contest

    It desperately needs a new scoring system or a rethink of the whole format

    The more popular it’s become, the more incentives bad actors have to try and manipulate the scores

25. Maybe remove a percentage of the population of the country of origin from #views just to take into account that you should not be able to vote for your own country, so these views should NOT be able to be converted to votes

    We should still view a problem for Israel, but it should match a bit better with x=y

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