Using the deficit increase from the Big Beautiful Bill and the debt increase timestamps from the bill itself I’ve plotted the rate change of debt just from interest accumulation per minute through the next 10 years. One major assumption made is that US credit rating is not downgraded, which appears to be less likely than before.

Posted by MrGlockCLE

41 comments
  1. Pulled debt data from OMB Budget. Worked up in prism. Debt assumption is from CBU and CRFB forecasts. Per minute calculated on basic math in excel.

    First time poster so Mods plz don’t execute me for bad formatting lol.

  2. I’ve literally never ever seen a bill like this get *worse* with dynamic scoring from the CBO

  3. If the bottom label of the y axis on your chart does not read “0”, it isn’t beautiful.

  4. Hey, nobody said that killing all those poor people in rural red districts was gonna be cheap!

  5. Some feedback regarding the “beautiful” aspect.

    1. No reason to cut off the y-axis at 1.8 Million. It exaggerates the difference, sure, but isn’t good practice. Yes you’re trying to show the difference between the 2, but difference is relative to the base number. E.g. debt going from 10 -> 20 instead of 10 ->15 is significant, debt going from 1000->1010 instead of 1000 -> 1005 is a rounding error. That context matters.

    2. Units on the y axis are really hard to decipher because of the number of zeros. Either add commas (e.g. $1,800,000) or measure in thousands/millions (e.g. $1.8 Million)

    3. Nominal debt is a pretty poor metric. Either graphing debt:gdp or just the percentage differences between the 2 measures would be more informative.

  6. Can’t wait for true massive tax hike on all us non-billionaires and insane benefits cuts in a few years when the country collapses under debt.

  7. Does this factor in the depression that is sure to result if Trumps tax cuts expire?

  8. certainly is data, but it isn’t beautiful and it never specifies that this is an assumption on the graph.

  9. Someone needs to re-write “Seasons of Love” to incorporate this.

  10. Shouldn’t we see some bumps? I thought most of the medicare cuts happen in 2026 and some of the tax breaks go away in 2028.

  11. It just keeps getting worse and worse… we can’t help ourselves. We are the richest nation to have ever existed but we can’t stop spending money we don’t have.

    How about instead of a widely impracticable tax on unrealized gains and no spending cap, we reign in spending and prohibit loans to individuals collateralized by financial positions so that the uber wealthy have to claim more in income/ltg tax to fund their lifestyle

  12. Easy fix. Just take all of Musk, Ellison, Bezos, and Zuckerbergs money and that makes up the difference. It’s mostly their fault we are here so they can pay for it.

  13. Time for some budget cuts in a certain area of the government. Let’s start with those expensive golf vacations.

  14. Not investment advice, but not owning BTC will be a massive mistake.

  15. This has been their playbook for decades. Run up the deficit so that the dems can’t do what they promise when they get into power. Nothing new.

    P.S. Just noticed the Y axis doesn’t start at zero. That’s a bit cheap tbh.

  16. It only works this way if you allow the tax cuts to expire, which would have happened without this bill.

  17. love those fiscal conservatives being fiscally conservative /s

  18. The y axis should be rounded or formatted to make it easier to read. Hard to count all the zeroes quickly.

  19. so America politics got to a point where they actually have a fuckin bill called “Big Beautiful Bill” ?

    like they went around to different kindergartens to ask for a good name and this was what most of the kids came up with.

    some reality TV shit right here.

  20. read their plan to starve the beast.
    they want to make it impossible to have a progressive government with progressive programs. They flipped the hell out when the clinton admin produced surpluses, so bush had 3 rounds of tax cuts to turn 300billion a year in surpluses to 1.2 trillion a year in deficits. Can you imagine if a ceo took profits from 300 billion to a 1.2 trillion dollar lost and people keep voting in these guys.

    the right also know the unfortunate truth, you can NOT fix things by going back to the old tax rates, you still have to pay for all the bills we didnt pay for, while we had a too low tax rate. You miss a powerbill this month, you cant go to your same budget next month, you got to account for 2 powerbills.

    The right like to talk about running the gov like a home, well you dont constantly quit your job and take a lower paying one.. if you cant make ends meet. (tax cuts)

  21. Trump is being bribed to bankrupt America. Billionaires are cashing out and grabbing everything they can before it happens.

  22. Has any legislation in the 21st century actually made the deficit go down?

  23. this is assuming the spending cuts in the bill will actually take effect. I’m doubting that a future democratic administration will maintain the draconian Medicaid cuts.

  24. This is actually really big problem. While this increase in debt might be “manageable” in a good economy, if another big bailout from Congress is needed, like the ones that occurred in the wake of the 2008 Financial Crisis or the 2020 COVID Pandemic, then we are really fucked.

  25. The government is broken…there is no reason to spending like this. Bill or not.

  26. This is why Trump is back to tariffs again, his theory is that taxes from tariffs can close that gap, allowing for the huge tax cuts for the already super rich 1%.

    He really doesn’t want deals, he wants the money from tariff taxes to pay for his tax cuts.

    Of course its very, very flawed and the entire thing the BBB & tariffs will be very damaging to the USA in many different ways for decades to come.

  27. It’s hilarious to me that the Republicans are all celebrating sky high stock market prices and crypto. In the meantime, the dollar has lost 15% of its value since Trump was appointed.

    Hint: the stock market has lost actual value and crypto is not at an all time high in nearly all other currencies.

  28. The plan is to default. This system will not see another administration of the US government.

    The rats are scraping the last pieces of value from our sleeping electorate before the big news: “we don’t have a currency or a way to pay for the stuff we promised you.” With the default, all of those ‘liabilities’ are going to be washed away. Liabilities like the Social Security commitment. Liabilities like the national debt and federal notes/bonds.

    The plan is to change the contract we American people have with our government without forcing the MAGAt voters to abandon the familiar rhetoric.

    We are going to have a war in this country, and Putin and Xi are going to plunder the world while it is happening. They probably won’t want to have anything to do with our native soil, though. Will you?

    EDIT: Of course there will be notes issued to ‘cash’ obligations. Just that the market sees the ‘cash out’ and abandons the default currency. Now our Treasury is held to account instead of being allowed the status of default reserve.

  29. When you fund tax cuts with increased debt, you are in the realm of make believe economics.

  30. The time to care about the U.S. debt was 30 years ago when the government started jacking it up.

    It’s interesting that people only started caring now. If so, why?

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