Another Wall Street firm no longer sees the S&P 500 declining to finish the year.
In a note to clients on Sunday, RBC Capital Markets boosted its year-end S&P 500 target to 6,250 from a prior target of 5,730. As RBC Capital Markets’ Lori Calvasina noted, the adjustment comes amid the market’s more than 25% bounce back from the April lows and essentially moves their target back to where it sat in mid-March before the bulk of the tariff turmoil began.
“We feel neutral on the outlook for stocks in the 2nd half of 2025, and are mindful that our new price target is essentially in line with recent levels,” Calvasina wrote. “We expect choppy conditions in the back half of the year, and swings in both directions.”
Calvasina noted that it’s likely still “too early to stop worrying about tariff impacts” on corporate earnings and also highlighted a slowdown in recent momentum as reasons she remains cautious that the next major move for the benchmark index is higher.
While Calvasina is at least the ninth strategist tracked by Yahoo Finance to recently raise their S&P 500 target from their April downward revision, she’s also part of a growing list of those who aren’t pounding the table for the rally to continue.
Yardeni Research president Ed Yardeni, who maintains a 6,500 year-end target for the S&P 500, wrote in a note to clients on Sunday that the recent V-shape recovery in stocks could soon look more like a “square-root shaped pattern” where the rapid rise higher stalls out.