By 2070, London’s climate will feel like how Sienna, Italy, feels now

by Kaurblimey

29 comments
  1. And Sienna Italy will be as hot as modern Bahrain presumably

  2. Feels pretty high on the Scoville scale already tbh lol

  3. This is based on : [https://www.nationalgeographic.com/magazine/graphics/see-how-your-citys-climate-might-change-by-2070-feature](https://www.nationalgeographic.com/magazine/graphics/see-how-your-citys-climate-might-change-by-2070-feature)

    The prediction is also based on worse-case modelling from a discredited model. [https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/1m3stff/comment/n3z43j1/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button](https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/1m3stff/comment/n3z43j1/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button)

    But doom’n’gloom sells.

  4. I’ll be 80 then. I hope there’s a nice sun terrace at the retirement home.

  5. No it won’t. This is a vast oversimplification – a couple weather variables will shift to match Sienna, but climate chaos doesn’t mean uniform shifts in climate like this. It means *chaos*. Mean temperatures don’t have the same meaning when the variance is so high.

  6. Look forward to some nice vineyards. Off to trademark “ Chilterns Classico “

  7. Went to Siena last year (👌🏽) feel cheated now (😠)

  8. Excellent. The UK in the sunshine is an outstanding place to be.

  9. The comment by u/Chlorophilia on the original post adds a lot of context to this. I will quote directly, hope it’s okay:

    “This is a really irresponsible graphic by National Geographic. Before I get called a denier, I’m a climate scientist. 

    The idea is good, but they’ve used a completely unrealistic projection for future CO2 emissions. Specifically, they’ve used RCP8.5, which is now universally regarded by climate researchers as extremely unlikely. CO2 emissions have been significantly below RCP8.5 for well over a decade, and this scenario results in warming around 50% higher than the expected warming based on existing policies. Many people are not aware of this but CO2 emissions are no longer accelerating and are reaching a plateau. To follow RCP8.5, all of this would have to be reversed, which isn’t going to happen. 

    The situation is bad enough without making exaggerations that are not backed by science or observations.”

    Once again, not my own comment. All credit to u/Chlorophilia

  10. But still with overcast skies and short days in winter, which is what sucks about the climate here. 

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