What you should show are mines and metals poisoning of water and the population from the EVs It will look like something truly terrible
Also, what to do with all those corner lots?
It will look like children with better developmental outcomes, it will look like fewer instances of cancer, it will look like lower public health costs.
I think the author left off the big accelerator. The RoboTaxi. A single RoboTaxi does the driving duty of 10 privately owned cars. Waymo has a fleet that is less than 2,000 working vehicles and its already doing 1 million trips per month. There are about 1.5 million EVs sold annually in America, if those vehicles were instead RoboTaxis it would be the equivalent of 15 million EVs sold in terms of trips.
150,000 RoboTaxis hitting the road every year would provide enough rides to surpass the total number of EVs sold every year. 1.5 million RoboTaxis hitting the road every year would have a similar effect for the total number of new cars sold ever year. Because one vehicle is doing 10 times the number of rides the ability to scale up is way faster than direct EV sales.
Eventually once an ICE vehicle experiences a big enough drop in sales the production has to be taken off line. When production goes offline, it won’t come back online. No more new ICE cars. If your car requires some part to operate, and that part is no longer being produced and you can’t find it in some warehouse your car will become a parts car when that part goes out.
It’s ok, they’ll learn to code.
The grid can’t handle this future without MAJOR overhaul
Tell you what, until the battery technology becomes flawless EVs will require regular maintenance of their core systems. The batteries themselves are complicated and those that are properly designed are repairable. The charging and power distribution also will require attention, hopefully, the parts of these systems that serve separate functions can be repaired when they fail. I have an EV and there, are no belts under the hood. Somehow the steering is powered, brakes are power assisted, and the 12v bias battery gets charged. A lot of potential things to go wrong but mostly don’t. My thinking is there will be maintenance and repair opportunities in the future and they will not all be dealership jobs
40-80% EV adoption will probably not happen in my lifetime
An oil change every 6 mos is far better than daily charging imo
I recently bought an EV. got a letter about a third party extended warranty covering: engine, transmission, drivetrain, etc…. Nothing to do with the actual parts.
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What you should show are mines and metals poisoning of water and the population from the EVs It will look like something truly terrible
Also, what to do with all those corner lots?
It will look like children with better developmental outcomes, it will look like fewer instances of cancer, it will look like lower public health costs.
I think the author left off the big accelerator. The RoboTaxi. A single RoboTaxi does the driving duty of 10 privately owned cars. Waymo has a fleet that is less than 2,000 working vehicles and its already doing 1 million trips per month. There are about 1.5 million EVs sold annually in America, if those vehicles were instead RoboTaxis it would be the equivalent of 15 million EVs sold in terms of trips.
150,000 RoboTaxis hitting the road every year would provide enough rides to surpass the total number of EVs sold every year. 1.5 million RoboTaxis hitting the road every year would have a similar effect for the total number of new cars sold ever year. Because one vehicle is doing 10 times the number of rides the ability to scale up is way faster than direct EV sales.
Eventually once an ICE vehicle experiences a big enough drop in sales the production has to be taken off line. When production goes offline, it won’t come back online. No more new ICE cars. If your car requires some part to operate, and that part is no longer being produced and you can’t find it in some warehouse your car will become a parts car when that part goes out.
It’s ok, they’ll learn to code.
The grid can’t handle this future without MAJOR overhaul
Tell you what, until the battery technology becomes flawless EVs will require regular maintenance of their core systems. The batteries themselves are complicated and those that are properly designed are repairable. The charging and power distribution also will require attention, hopefully, the parts of these systems that serve separate functions can be repaired when they fail. I have an EV and there, are no belts under the hood. Somehow the steering is powered, brakes are power assisted, and the 12v bias battery gets charged. A lot of potential things to go wrong but mostly don’t. My thinking is there will be maintenance and repair opportunities in the future and they will not all be dealership jobs
40-80% EV adoption will probably not happen in my lifetime
An oil change every 6 mos is far better than daily charging imo
I recently bought an EV. got a letter about a third party extended warranty covering: engine, transmission, drivetrain, etc…. Nothing to do with the actual parts.
Goodbye pay phones
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