Wait, it’s 9th of May in exactly two weeks. This is going to be the best victory day.
I have been wondering the logistics of a counter attack, and where to attack. Will be interesting to see if it materializes what they decide on.
Hello nukes…
>NV: Meaning that the Armed Forces of Ukraine need to hold out for 10-12 days more?
>Rustamzade: That’s right, 10-14 days.
The statemetn that makes the headline. It comes as an estimation from an Azeri commander, NOT a declaration of the Ukrainian armed forces.
>Russia still holds an advantage in long-range artillery, but that won’t last.
I would have loved to hear on why, since as far as I know Ukraine doesn’t have anything to neutralize Russian artillery. He probably knows better than me, ergo why I would have liked to know more.
>In my assessment, if the AFU manages to continue striking at the Russian forces for a month, Moscow will be left with nothing with which to continue prosecuting the war in Ukraine.
That would be nice, but I’d have to see it, to believe it.
>What Ukraine’s military and political objectives will be after that – I don’t know. Winning the campaign will not put an end to the overarching Russia-Ukraine conflict.
[Reminds me of this 2019 interview, which talks about the conflict being conducted in three wars, rather than a single one.](https://youtu.be/1xNHmHpERH8?t=522)
Ukraine simply lacks the force projection or logistics to mount an attack. They are being hammered in the East and at risk of encirclement in the Donbas cauldron. The Somalia battalion, who were responsible for most of the advancement in Mariopol have now left and gone East leaving mostly Chechen units compromising of the Dudaev Battalion to ringfence the Azovstal iron and steel works, trapping the last resistance who they were hoping would keep the Somalia battalion busy there which didn’t happen.
Another thing is for Ukraine to mount a counter attack, they will need supply lines and logistics which is exposed to strikes from the air. The SU 25’s have been doing strafing runs almost none stop now and backed by MI 24 and KA-52’s. Whilst Ukraine has had some success in countering some of these with Manpads, the force projection is simply too large to group together a large brigade for a counter attack.
6 comments
Wait, it’s 9th of May in exactly two weeks. This is going to be the best victory day.
I have been wondering the logistics of a counter attack, and where to attack. Will be interesting to see if it materializes what they decide on.
Hello nukes…
>NV: Meaning that the Armed Forces of Ukraine need to hold out for 10-12 days more?
>Rustamzade: That’s right, 10-14 days.
The statemetn that makes the headline. It comes as an estimation from an Azeri commander, NOT a declaration of the Ukrainian armed forces.
>Russia still holds an advantage in long-range artillery, but that won’t last.
I would have loved to hear on why, since as far as I know Ukraine doesn’t have anything to neutralize Russian artillery. He probably knows better than me, ergo why I would have liked to know more.
>In my assessment, if the AFU manages to continue striking at the Russian forces for a month, Moscow will be left with nothing with which to continue prosecuting the war in Ukraine.
That would be nice, but I’d have to see it, to believe it.
>What Ukraine’s military and political objectives will be after that – I don’t know. Winning the campaign will not put an end to the overarching Russia-Ukraine conflict.
[Reminds me of this 2019 interview, which talks about the conflict being conducted in three wars, rather than a single one.](https://youtu.be/1xNHmHpERH8?t=522)
Ukraine simply lacks the force projection or logistics to mount an attack. They are being hammered in the East and at risk of encirclement in the Donbas cauldron. The Somalia battalion, who were responsible for most of the advancement in Mariopol have now left and gone East leaving mostly Chechen units compromising of the Dudaev Battalion to ringfence the Azovstal iron and steel works, trapping the last resistance who they were hoping would keep the Somalia battalion busy there which didn’t happen.
Another thing is for Ukraine to mount a counter attack, they will need supply lines and logistics which is exposed to strikes from the air. The SU 25’s have been doing strafing runs almost none stop now and backed by MI 24 and KA-52’s. Whilst Ukraine has had some success in countering some of these with Manpads, the force projection is simply too large to group together a large brigade for a counter attack.
If even half of this is true, this is great news