Explore Amplitude Energy’s Fair Values from the Community and select yours
Last week saw the newest full-year earnings release from Amplitude Energy Limited (ASX:AEL), an important milestone in the company’s journey to build a stronger business. Things were not great overall, with a surprise (statutory) loss of AU$0.016 per share on revenues of AU$268m, even though the analysts had been expecting a profit. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company’s performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we’ve aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Amplitude Energy after the latest results.
ASX:AEL Earnings and Revenue Growth August 22nd 2025
After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Amplitude Energy are now predicting revenues of AU$305.9m in 2026. If met, this would reflect a solid 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Amplitude Energy forecast to report a statutory profit of AU$0.016 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of AU$311.1m and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.019 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a real cut to EPS estimates.
See our latest analysis for Amplitude Energy
It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at AU$0.29, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company’s valuation. The most optimistic Amplitude Energy analyst has a price target of AU$0.38 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at AU$0.20. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Amplitude Energy’s past performance and to peers in the same industry. It’s pretty clear that there is an expectation that Amplitude Energy’s revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 14% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 18% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.0% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Amplitude Energy is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
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