Estonia vs Portugal – Preview & Prediction (Sep. 03, 2025)

Estonia vs Portugal – Preview & Prediction: Estonia will play against Portugal in the Round 5 of EuroBasket.

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Estonia vs Portugal Preview

The Estonian national team had no chance against Turkey, with the final score ending 84-64 in favor of Ergin Ataman’s squad. Estonia now stands at 1-3, and their upcoming matchup against Portugal will decide whether they advance to the next stage. Head coach Heiko Rannula faced further headaches, as after losing captain Siim-Sander Vene to a knee injury sustained against Latvia, Sander Raiieste also went down with an injury in the first half against Turkey and did not return to the court.

The only Estonian player really in rhythm was Kristian Kullamae, who scored 16 points, though he also took some rushed shots at moments when Estonia was looking for a chance to get back into the game. The only other Estonian in double figures was Kregor Hermet, who scored 12 points, all from beyond the arc (4/6). Estonia’s biggest problem in the game was their two-point shooting, hitting just 37% (11/30), which simply wasn’t enough to challenge Turkey. Artur Konontsuk and Janari Joesaar also struggled, combining for only six points, making it clear that Estonia will need much more from them in the game against Portugal.

After their opening win against the Czech Republic, Portugal was quickly faced with reality, suffering three straight losses. They first put up a strong fight against Serbia, but were then handed convincing defeats, first by Turkey and then by hosts Latvia. The game against Latvia ended 78-62 for the home side, with the decisive stretch coming in the second quarter, which Portugal lost 27-7. From that point on, there was no way back, and Portugal could only preserve energy for the next game — the one that is truly decisive for them.

It is absolutely clear that the matchup against Estonia will determine the last team to advance to the round of 16 from this group, as the loser will be heading home while the winner books a ticket to the knockout stage. Against Latvia, Portugal didn’t have many players step up, with Rafael Lisboa leading the way with 17 points, followed by the team’s star Neemias Queta with 16. Against Estonia, Queta will need to be at his absolute best on both ends of the floor, and he will also need support from his teammates, especially Lisboa and Travante Williams.

Estonia vs Portugal H2H

So far, these two national teams have faced each other six times, all within EuroBasket qualifiers, with Estonia holding the edge with four wins. Their most recent victory came back in 2016, when they defeated their opponents at home 82-63.

Injuries and Suspensions

For Estonia, Siim-Sander Vene is out, having ended his tournament after an injury in the second round against Latvia, and Sander Raieste also suffered an injury in the last game against Turkey. Additionally, Estonia lost Maik Kotsar just before the start of EuroBasket. On the other hand, Portugal enters this matchup with a full roster.

Where to Watch Estonia vs Portugal?

Estonia vs Portugal Best Betting Tip and Prediction

Given the high stakes in this matchup, both teams are expected to approach the game with maximum caution. Portugal has already shown that their only chance for success comes if they slow the pace down and play tough defense. We expect a similar scenario this time, so our prediction is that the total number of points in this game will be under the given line.

Tip-off Time: Wednesday, 03.09.2025, 13:45 CET
Prediction: Under 150.5 points
Odds: 1.73
Sportsbook: 20Bet

*Odds are active at the time the article is published

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