[OC] Neutral Districts vs. 2025 Gerrymandered Districts in Texas

Posted by GATechJC

27 comments
  1. So bad, they’re suing California for doing the same thing.

  2. If this doesn’t go their way, in a few years Repubs will just blame Dems for the gerrymander and vote to reverse it, like they are doing with mail-in voting.

  3. I have a question about the district in and around El Paso. In the neutral districts map it looks like it stretches across the entire western horn of the state. But in the gerrymandered map it is just the El Paso area. Did they just forget to add the border around the El Paso district in the former — because the number of people in the smaller blue district in the latter doesn’t change just because the colors around it change.

  4. **Data Sources:**

    * [NYT Precinct Level Election Results](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/us/elections/2024-election-map-precinct-results.html)
    * [Open Street Maps](https://www.openstreetmap.org/)
    * [Texas Legislative Council, Plan PLANC2308 shapefiles (2025 districts)](https://data.capitol.texas.gov/dataset/planc2308/resource/c25d964b-9230-49dd-b677-edf862ad37be)

    **Tools:** GeoPandas, Shapely, SciPy, Matplotlib, Contextily

    **Method:** Neutral map generated using a clustering algorithm (equal-population K-Means)

    **Additional context:**
    If you’d like a full walkthrough of the methodology and code examples, check out my article: [Redistricting Texas: A Data-Driven Path to Fair Representation](https://medium.com/data-science-collective/redistricting-texas-a-data-driven-path-to-fair-representation-f69ea715b400)

  5. They’re using a computer program. Humans can’t draw a map that unfair.

  6. I’m confused what’s happening with that El Paso district, how is that not overpopulated in your “neutral” map

    Also what is the criteria for neutral here because the “neutral” map is still heavily R biased

  7. Imagine if we lived under a functioning benevolent government that served the people instead of whatever this is.

  8. What is the voter count? Im sure its available but it’d be interesting to see the ratio of red votes to blue vs the ratio of seats

  9. Maybe this is too spicy of a take, but pretty much all states are so badly gerrymandered that we kinda shoot the moon and approach something mirroring the popular vote.

    Most of the states that are “fairly” districted are states with like 2 seats where you pretty much always end up just splitting the state’s population in half.

    Meanwhile every state I’ve looked up with +10 million people, or near enough, have popular vote results that don’t reflect how their representatives are distributed.

  10. The real solution to gerrymandering is to expand the number of members of the House of representatives. When the districts are smaller, it’s harder to crack and pack populations.

  11. A lot of what they are relying on are votes from the last election. A lot of Texas Latinos voted for Trump. Support for him among that group has fallen through the floor.

    I hope this blows up in their faces.

  12. So just out of curiosity, what numbers do democrats need to get to have equal representation? Like if they got 60% of the vote, do they get a 50/50 say?

  13. So in this map did El Paso suddenly lose half of its population?

  14. Gerrymandering is a good sign that you’re not really a democracy.

    Same with letting rich people buy politicians.

  15. 10% moving from one column to the other would flip a lot more house seats in this case.

  16. Can’t gerrymander senate and governor seats in texas. And texas voters still vote for Republicans.

  17. The next logical step is for the TX Legislature to pass a law that while everyone *can* vote, only ballots cast for Republicans will be counted.

  18. Now do California. Same thing. California is about 43% Republican and they only have 5 seats. Both sides are guilty of this.

  19. What if districts were decided by a politically neutral body?

  20. Didn’t they just make it easier for a wave election to sweep more seats?

  21. If you can’t win without cheating then you didn’t actually win any races at all. I’m so tired of the bullshit and hate filled greed based policies.
    The concept of running for office to actually help all people shouldn’t be something only the progressives do.

  22. Just for fun, do a Democrat gerrymander for Texas. Show what the extreme other end looks like.

  23. What I love about this is that if your district has essentially zero influence from the other team, can you still blame them for all your problems? Lol 🤣

  24. Taxation without representation. The GOP has gone full colonial

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