Lithuania vs Latvia – Preview & Prediction (Sep. 06, 2025)

Lithuania vs Latvia – Preview & Prediction: Lithuania will play against Latvia in the EuroBasket Round of 16.

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Standings

Lithuania vs Latvia Preview

Lithuania delivered a solid group stage performance, finishing second with a record of four wins and one loss. Their only defeat came against powerhouse Germany, while they managed to take down Great Britain, Montenegro, Finland, and Sweden. Their last game was precisely against Sweden, where they prevailed 74-71 after a thrilling finish. That matchup was also Lithuania’s first in this tournament without Rokas Jokubaitis, who suffered a severe knee injury.

Interestingly, in addition to the already injured Jokubaitis, head coach Rimas Kurtinaitis decided to further shorten the rotation against Sweden, leaving Tadas Sedekerskis and Marek Blazevic on the bench. An additional concern for Kurtinaitis is that Margiris Normantas suffered an ankle injury, which limited him to just three minutes in this game. The top scorer for Lithuania in that game was Jonas Valanciunas with 18 points and nine rebounds, but the true difference-maker was Arnas Velicka, who carried the offense in the closing moments. He finished the contest with 14 points and seven assists. For the clash with Latvia, it is clear that the rest of the team will need to step up to compensate for the absence of their best player in this tournament – Jokubaitis.

On the other side, Latvia has been improving as the tournament progresses. They finished third in Group A, suffering losses against Turkey and Serbia, while defeating Estonia, Portugal, and the Czech Republic. Encouragingly for Latvian fans, after a poor showing in the second round against Estonia – despite winning that game – the team has raised its level significantly. First, they battled Serbia in a strong effort despite the loss, and then followed it up with convincing wins over Portugal and the Czech Republic.

Their most recent victory came against the Czech Republic, a dominant 109-75 result. Head coach Luca Banchi was able to manage minutes for his main players, with the Bertans brothers leading the way. Dairis played 30 minutes and Davis 22, each scoring 20 points. Kristaps Porzingis and Rolands Smits also stood out with 16 points apiece. Porzingis did it in just 19 minutes on the floor, while Smits needed four minutes less. Arturs Zagars, who picked up an injury in the fourth round against Portugal, logged only 13 minutes, allowing him some much-needed rest ahead of the most important game of the tournament.

Lithuania vs Latvia H2H

In official games, these two national teams have faced each other five times, with Lithuania holding the edge with three victories. However, the most recent matchup went Latvia’s way at the 2023 World Cup, where they claimed a convincing 98-63 win.

Injuries and Suspensions

Even before the tournament, Lithuania was dealing with injuries and withdrawals, as Domantas Sabonis, Edgaras Ulanovas, Dovydas Giedraitis, Arnas Butkevicius, Matas Buzelis, and Ignas Brazdeikis did not join the team for EuroBasket. Their misfortune continued during the competition, with Rokas Jokubaitis suffering a severe injury first, followed by Margiris Normantas getting hurt in the last game. On the other side, Latvia has had far fewer problems, with only Rodions Kurucs missing EuroBasket due to injury, while Andrejs Grazulis didn’t played since the game against Serbia due to injury.

Where to Watch Lithuania vs Latvia?

Lithuania vs Latvia Best Betting Tip and Prediction

Latvia have been improving as the tournament progresses and are starting to resemble the team from the previous World Cup. On the other hand, Lithuania are facing major injury problems, and it’s uncertain in what lineup they will take the court for this matchup. Additionally, Latvia will have the support of the home fans, so our prediction is that they will secure a win by a margin greater than the offered handicap.

Tip-off Time: Saturday, 06.09.2025, 17:30 CET
Prediction: Latvia -3.5
Odds: 1.77
Sportsbook: 20Bet

*Odds are active at the time the article is published

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