Charlie Cummings breaks down his pick and prediction for Wednesday’s EuroBasket game between Slovenia and Germany.
As the EuroBasket 2025 field narrows, the contenders become clearer. Germany, the big favorites to win the tournament, have more tests to pass before they can truly contend for the title. Luka Doncic and Slovenia are standing in their way.
The Germans are 13-point favorites and hold -750 odds on the Moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook. Slovenia is the underdog at +525 on the Moneyline. The total is set at 179.5 points. Let’s look at the best bets and predictions for this contest.
Slovenia vs. Germany prediction, pick
Everything great about this German team was on display in the Round of 16 against Portugal. Their balanced offensive attack and lockdown defensive abilities fueled a 33-7 margin in the fourth quarter that delivered a 37-point win. Franz Wagner’s ascension as an international star continues, while Dennis Schröder cements his legacy as one of the greatest players in Germany’s history.
But that defense will be put to the test against Luka Doncic. He’s putting up one of the all-time best EuroBasket tournament performances, carrying Slovenia out of the group stage and through a Round of 16 upset over Italy. He stuffed the box score with 42 points on 11-for-19 shooting against the Italians and has been in an unconscious flow state every night.
Germany’s work is cut out for them. Slow down the best offensive talent in the world enough, and you get to move on. Sounds pretty daunting. But they have a good formula for doing so since Franz Wagner is a strong defender and Isaac Bonga has been their go-to stopper all tournament long. Plus, Daniel Theis can hold his own as a rim protector. With a solid top-to-bottom team and an offensive attack that Slovenia cannot contain, expect the Germans to roll through to the semifinals and take one step closer to a trophy.