Weekly Significant Activity Report – September 13, 2025

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1. SS: This post analyzes some significant geopolitical developments from September 6-13 involving Russia, China, Iran and North Korea.

   Key events covered include: 

   1. Russia used multiple military drills this week to highlight the strength of its alliances, while it simultaneously used drones and aerial probes of Western airspace to test the resolve of the NATO alliance and its support for Ukraine.
   2. Multiple reports and announcements this week suggest the Kremlin is preparing for internal instability that may follow the end of the war and an overall economic downturn.
   3. China asserted expanding control of the South China Sea by sailing its most advanced aircraft carrier, the Fujian, through the Taiwan Strait, and unilaterally declaring the disputed Scarborough Shoal a Chinese nature preserve.
   4. Iran reversed its July expulsion of IAEA inspectors in an attempt to stall the return of European sanctions.
   5. North Korea celebrated the 77th anniversary of its founding with new developments for its strategic forces.

   Things to keep a close eye on in coming days:

   1. How will President Trump respond to repeated Russian probes of Western defenses? Or will he do nothing?
   2. Where is the CNS Fujian headed and what operations will it conduct in the South China Sea?

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