Thinking about what to do with your Venture Global stock? You are definitely not alone, especially after the recent flurry of activity. The stock closed at $14.83, bouncing back with an impressive 11.9% gain over the past week and a solid 14.1% rally in the last month. For longtime holders, though, it has been more of a roller coaster, as shares are still down 38.2% for the year so far. Where some see volatility, others see opportunity or signs of shifting sentiment. Market chatter points to sector-wide developments boosting investor interest, which may explain this renewed momentum.
Of course, the real question is whether Venture Global at this price offers value, or if the recent enthusiasm is running ahead of the story. Our current value score is 2 out of 6, meaning the stock is undervalued in just two of the six valuation checks. That is enough to spark curiosity, but not exactly screaming “hidden gem” at least, not on the surface.
Before making a call, it is worth examining the different valuation approaches investors use to size up companies like Venture Global. We will walk through those next, and at the end, introduce a perspective that sharp-eyed investors can use to go beyond the standard valuation playbook.
Venture Global scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company’s true worth by forecasting its potential future cash flows and then discounting them back to today’s value. This method gives investors a way to value Venture Global by looking beyond short-term market moves, instead focusing on where the company’s finances are likely headed.
At present, Venture Global is reporting a Last Twelve Months (LTM) Free Cash Flow of -$8.98 Billion. Analysts project that in five years, annual cash flows could turn positive, reaching about $1.73 Billion by the end of 2029. Looking further ahead, projections stretch out to 2035, estimating Free Cash Flow could rise to roughly $4.77 Billion, but it is worth noting these distant numbers depend on consistent growth and operational execution.
Based on these forecasts and the DCF model’s methodology, the intrinsic value of Venture Global shares comes in at $16.72. With the current price at $14.83, this indicates the stock is trading at an 11.3% discount to its estimated fair value, which may suggest the market is undervaluing its longer-term prospects.
Result: UNDERVALUED
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