CREA’s EU-Russia analyst, Vaibhav Raghunandan, says it raises questions about the effectiveness of sanctioning the vessels only.
But with data revealing, for the first time, that some of the sanctioned shadow fleet tankers are still operating in Australian supply chains, one expert suggests the federal government is creating “a perception that it is tackling this problem”.
How is Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’ evading sanctions?
“The oil price cap […] sets the price at which Russian oil is allowed to be traded with third countries such as India, China, and others,” he says.
They want to constrict the access of the Kremlin to those revenues, but they don’t want to limit the supply of oil to global markets.
“That means that the price cap is not working because those refineries keep buying Russian oil above the price cap and the shadow fleet is facilitating that.”
Sanctioned tankers in Australian supply chains
Since February 2022, CREA has been tracking Russia’s fossil fuel flows and revenues using real-time data from Kpler, a service provider that collates maritime traffic, shipping, customs and market data. CREA, based in Finland, also uses separate customs data from the EU and other countries.
“You’re essentially boosting and encouraging the Russian oil trade by not imposing sanctions on the refinery or putting a ban in place on refined oil products made from Russian crude itself.”
‘Crucial’ to Russia’s trade
He says shadow tankers can also be difficult to identify because they lack consistent common traits or markers.
LISTEN TO
New sanctions on Russia from the US and EU over Ukraine | Morning News Bulletin 24 October 2025
“There may be some countries that are not willing to touch these tankers [and] some ports … But that does not mean that the operations of these tankers stop,” he says.
There’s a huge number of sanctioned tankers out at sea.
“So at any point of time, shadow tankers have been a very integral part of the supply chain for refineries that are using Russian crude.”
Australia – the biggest importer
Yet according to CREA, Australia is currently the biggest importer of oil products refined from Russian crude in third countries.
“We continue to have processes and controls for maintaining compliance with applicable trade sanctions. We conduct appropriate checks on trading counterparties and documents that are used to evidence the origin of products,” the spokesperson said.
SBS News also attempted to confirm CREA’s Australian data set with the Australian Border Force. A spokesperson for the agency said they were unable “to confirm or disclose specific details of commercial vessel movements at Australian ports” due to “legislated privacy obligations”.
‘Playing whack-a-mole’
“Australia’s imports of oil products from refineries using Russian crude is a small part of its entire consumption of these products,” he says.
Removing these from the entire supply is going to have no inflationary effect.