Russian Defense Industry Sees Sharp Production Decline After Three Years of Growth

9 comments

1. Nothing says Russia’s economy is reaching breaking point more than this.

   Even the few things they have poured endless money into are running out of resources and money.

2. War economies are extremely robust and resilient…until they aren’t. It might be too soon to tell, but I hope they keep the pressure up

3. Genuine question: “Russia is finding it increasingly difficult to sustain the pace of defense production. Among the main reasons are a shortage of skilled labor, sanctions restricting the import of technology and components, and the forced simplification of products to achieve higher output volumes.”

   How does the forced simplification cause difficulty to maintain production?1

4. The only industry that has been thriving in Russia, and that has been paying enormous salaries, is the defense industry and companies that deliver to the war machine. All other sectors are going bankrupt and firing people. The coal industry is completely destroyed. Once the war stops, the defense industries will shut down, but the workers won’t be able to find employment elsewhere. Then there’s the hundreds of thousands of soldiers that will be returning to no jobs no nothing. What historically happens in Russia is a revolution.

5. They ran out of old Soviet vehicles to refurbish, and since their ‘production lines’ are actually just a group of welders, there’s nothing coming down the pipe.

   It’s time for Europe to double down on both military and financial assistance – America can pizz off.

6. Less fuel ⛽️ from refineries and long range strikes on their electric plants and direct strikes on manufacturing facilities should do the trick . If we want to end the war we have to end the Russian war Machine.

7. Is a big part of the issue here the fact that they’ve been forced to transition from refurbishment to actual new production for the most part? Following several different sources, it seems like the Russians were relying on available inventory stocks to refurbish and that actual net new production hulls for armored vehicles were very much in the minority. It would make complete sense that ‘production’ would be drastically down if that is the case and government messaging around it would be very difficult to spin.

8. You can probably only siphon funds off for three years before you have to flee with the bag.

9. I am sorry to say, but this is nothing extraordinary or worthy of celebration. All it is saying is growth has declined a little but after huge years of growth. The current production output is still massive.

   “The production of finished metal products, which grew by 26.4% in 2023 and 31.6% in 2024, and was still showing a +21.2% increase in August, unexpectedly turned negative in September, down 1.6% year-on-year,”

   And the lower production might even be strategic. That is, aligning the production needs to what is actually needed on the front. It would also be important to understand what is classified as a finished metal product. Is this being measured by QTY of units, by weight or some other metric.

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