Published in today‘s NZZ am Sonntag, frontpage. (Google-translated article in image 2)
(big sigh) I leave that here for your information without further comment.
But I need to generate 200 characters, so I am asking myself if it will generate a run for more apprenticeships in craftmenship professions?
by gundilareine
22 comments
That explains why my diplomas are worthless in this job market
Based on anecdotal evidence, I suspect AI is more of a good excuse for companies to layoff after having over hired in recent times while looking cool / high tech.
I’m surprised that there is a relevant influence already visible today, given the fact that AI at the moment mostly produces useless output. Maybe there are very specific areas where this isn’t the case.
and? we need more guys to work in construction jobs. so you have a shift going and the weak or not the best employes get lays off. didnt this happen anyway if a company finds a better person for a job?
AI my ass. It’s only an excuse & big lie; AI cannot do those jobs it’s only a tool
Now just imagine if they made machines that could do farm work like a man with an ox.
25% of people would be unemployed!
Of if they invented a machine that can automatically weave fabric. What would all those weavers do?
AI is a convenient excuse/pretext for dismissing or not hiring people, nothing more.
No it doesn’t.. Saying it causes significant unemployment is ridiculous. Almost nobody has lost their job to AI yet. I wish they included numbers in this Article.
Well correlation is not causation- either the study is weak or the interpretation by nzz is weak. There are plenty other factors that impacted the job market since 2022.
That said, it does make sense that rather operational knowledge jobs are impacted somewhat in the long run. Though currently there is very limited evidence for this in the real world, as organizations struggle to implement AI in a meaningful and effective manner.
For everybody thinking that lawyers and other non-tech high education professionals won’t be affected by AI because „AI won’t replace lawyers. Good lawyers who know how to use AI will replace poor ones“ or that handymen won’t be replaced because AI doesn’t have wrists or thumbs (because we all know AI already has all the knowledge that you have, it’s just about limiting hallucinations) you’re dreaming.
AI is based on language models that mimic or even exceed the human brain. If AI can replace paralegals (which is how „good lawyers“ will beat „bad lawyers“ because they‘ll be cheaper to hire) then it’s just one more step to replacing junior associates and one step after that to replacing the best lawyer in the world with an app that costs 99 cents a month.
Handymen will be replaced too. There is already a robot that can perform all the tasks a cleaning lady can. The dexterity and strength that is currently saving handymen from loosing their jobs, robots will be capable of in 10 years.
Ps. Do you think, if robots could replace electricians and truck loaders that they‘ll also be able to replace police officers?
I’m not afraid of AI. I’m afraid of company leaders.
I’m a senior dev specializing in complex geospatial web apps.
My boss just got an email and was amazed by a fork of my app, a Tunisian dev had “AI-coded” a module. It changed over 80,000 lines of code in one commit. It’s enormous. The UI was broken, there were no tests, and the CI didn’t even run.
The dev did it for “free”
I’m paid $120k/year..
Shortly after, my contract was not renewed for 2026, after 12 years.. “lacks of funding”..
I have other projects, but still.
It’s happening.
Man, the amount of people here who mix up AI and AGI and think “well it can’t do a full human job yet so it won’t affect employment” is wild.
Like, have you looked at what’s happening? Devs and designers using SOTA AI tools (not free tier ChatGPT) are literally working twice as fast in some cases. That’s a massive productivity jump.
Pretending that kind of efficiency boost doesn’t reduce demand for labor is just straight-up denial.
There exists probably also a post-Covid effect here. At least in the USA this has been shown to be the case. I wonder whether this has been taken into account or not.
Still, I haven’t heard one politician or party talk about this issue and the plan .
And the government simply ignores it.
As a software engineer, I’m happy to see this. Yes, please automate the boring part of my job that would have been near-shored anyway.
I’m happy to go with 60% employment at the earliest moment.
Thats bs.. The market was bad in 2020 already in IT. Big tech companies were laying off, were outsourcing and had hiring stops. That continues until today. On top of that, 5-6 years ago we all were told that there would be a big shortage of skilled devs by 2025, 30 – you call it. Those new people are obv. also contributing to the unemployment rate. Also getting skilled in the genAI „era“ is more difficult than ever.
Tldr: there are bigger factors behind the unemployment rate in tech and I think drawing a causality between genAI and unemployment is just wrong.
Decision makers have the feeling to replace manpower with AI > Layoffs > 5 people do the work of 10 > 2 people remain because they cant find another job > 0 people that do intrinsic motivated work
For myself, I also have to implement AI in different projects. Some tasks that required 30 mins are now taking 5 hours with AI. The difference: One Powerpoint for the CEO that all these AI tools are implemented.
Good luck to you all when you have a superficial CEO running your company.
Water is wet
Reminder: There is no real “Fachkräftemangel” there is only a cheap labor shortage!
This is bs. Not the ai, but the near and offshoring, the declining economy, etc.
But it’s looking better in investors report that “we made redundant 7000 people replaced by AI” instead of “our business is declining and we are overtired during covid, so now we have to lay off people to save costs”
Who thought that AI would make (some) IT Jobs obsolete that fast? I know that some of them will return, once companies realize that they still have to train juniors in order to get seniors. But still, I would be interested in detail which IT-jobs were replaced with AI successfully.
Hi, it’s me, I’m the problem it’s me. (Roche cutting communications and marketing positions due to leveraging LLMs.)
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