The Federal Reserve lowering its benchmark interest rate to between 3.75% and 4% — their second rate cut this year — should have been the biggest news coming out of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
But the 25 basis point cut was overshadowed by the fact that the decision yielded two dissents — including one from Stephen Miran, a recent Trump appointee to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Miran, who assumed his role in mid-September, dissented (1) for the second FOMC meeting in a row, calling again for a half-point rate cut. (2) The other dissenter, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid, leaned in the opposite direction, calling for the rate to remain as is.
“I would just point out that we have the situation where the risks are to the upside for inflation and to the downside for employment. We have one tool … you can’t address both of those at once,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters after the meeting when broadly discussing the issues that triggered dissent among the group. (3)
While there is precedent for multiple dissents around Federal Reserve decisions, (4) they are rare — with the last one occurring in 2019. Miran’s dissension, however, aligns with the repeated public declarations from Trump calling for a larger rate cut, thus raising questions about the political undertones rippling through the supposedly independent, non-partisan central bank.
Powell also noted that the Fed’s moves were made without the usual economic data provided by the government due to the ongoing shutdown. Instead, he said, they relied on data from private companies like HR software company ADP.
He also said that a third rate cut “is not a foregone conclusion … Policy is not on a preset course” when the group meets in December, likely setting up another showdown for dissension. As well, it was announced that December 1 would mark the end of the Fed’s balance sheet run-off — which could signal a nod toward liquidity and the quantitative easing that Trump has long championed. (5)
Though Powell didn’t mention Trump during his talk with reporters, the shadow of the president and his preferred policies loomed large over the meeting.