Trump’s Chances of Winning Tariff Case Drop on Polymarket

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/supreme-court-tariffs-case-stock-market-11-05-2025/card/polymarket-bettors-expect-trump-to-lose-supreme-court-tariff-case-4kso4sVLObo87TNEBs4K?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqcgZ2XieM03XKoWvYHz40g8HjAJkuMRFXiLzkO0hKYC9RBakm8DhpB7&gaa_ts=690bba53&gaa_sig=UioJht7k4ZxUJBnpM_5Pef_Cyd6gCM0EZjvFVy9D25JBV43q2z2Z9ZGrB473qs2qZ7iH4xsvZw7faFB7iBp-SA%3D%3D

by Particular_Yak_9454

3 comments

  1. Prediction:

    1. the nuclear option will be used by the GOP Senate to resolve the government shutdown.

    2. As the tariff case is in progress (the decision will be delayed as long as possible, perhaps to May 2026), the GOP will pass tariff bills retroactively.

    3. 2 of 4 GOP Senators will defect back to pro tariffs. Susan Collins and Randy Paul.

  3. Kalshi might be the only real thing holding government accountable right now.

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