Published on Nov. 17, 2025, 8:44 PM
A potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation could trigger a modern-day ice age, with winter temperatures across northern Europe plummeting to new cold extremes, bringing far more snow and ice.
By Alison Withers and Stine Jacobsen
COPENHAGEN (Reuters) – Iceland has designated the potential collapse of a major Atlantic Ocean current system a national security concern and an existential threat, enabling its government to strategize for worst-case scenarios, the country’s climate minister told Reuters.
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC, current brings warm water from the tropics northward toward the Arctic, and the flow of warm water helps keep Europe’s winters mild.
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But as warming temperatures speed the thaw of Arctic ice and cause meltwater from Greenland’s ice sheet to pour into the ocean, scientists warn the cold freshwater could disrupt the current’s flow.
FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the village of Vik, which would be at risk of glacier floods if the Katla volcano erupts, in southwestern Iceland, August 13, 2024. REUTERS/Stoyan Nenov/File Photo
A potential collapse of AMOC could trigger a modern-day ice age, with winter temperatures across Northern Europe plummeting to new cold extremes, bringing far more snow and ice. The AMOC has collapsed in the past – notably before the last Ice Age that ended about 12,000 years ago.
“It is a direct threat to our national resilience and security,” Iceland Climate Minister Johann Pall Johannsson said by email. “(This) is the first time a specific climate-related phenomenon has been formally brought before the National Security Council as a potential existential threat.”