Weekly Significant Activity Report – November 22, 2025

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1. SS: This post analyzes some significant geopolitical developments from November 15 and November 22 involving Russia, China, Iran and North Korea.

   Major events for this week included:

   1. A 28-point Ukraine peace plan heavily favoring Russian demands was leaked to US media outlet Axios on November 18 and subsequently endorsed by the White House. The plan is currently unfeasible and likely to be rejected by both Ukraine and Russia. Evidence suggests Russian special envoy Kirill Dmitriev leaked the proposal as part of complex diplomatic maneuvers to advance Russia’s position and his own personal interests.
   2. Russian spy ship *Yantar* is patrolling off the coast of the British Isles as part of a Russian effort to collect intelligence on undersea cables and intimidate the UK.
   3. A new report by the Washington Post has detailed a significant multi-year expansion of China’s Lop Nur nuclear test site, suggesting that Beijing may be engaging in more extensive nuclear testing than it currently acknowledges.
   4. The feud between China and Japan has intensified with little sign of stopping. China’s continued escalation has validated Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s initial warnings about Chinese aggression threatening Japanese sovereignty, making it difficult for Tokyo to back down.
   5. Iran continues to defy international pressure to constrain its nuclear program, with new developments at its Taleghan 2 site and renewed disputes with the International Atomic Energy Agency.

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