While President Trump has a list of five finalists for the next chair of the Federal Reserve, he said last week that he thinks he knows who he’ll pick.
“I think I already know my choice,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office regarding who will replace outgoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. “I’d love to get the guy currently in there out right now, but people are holding me back.”
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been leading the interview process and said last week that the president will be sitting down with the candidates soon.
The five candidates on the shortlist are Fed governors Chris Waller and Michelle Bowman, former Fed governor Kevin Warsh, NEC Director Kevin Hassett, and BlackRock head of fixed income Rick Rieder.
The president reiterated twice last week that he’s still partial to Bessent, who again said he does not want the job.
Former senior Trump economic adviser Steve Moore said he views the race for the next Fed chair as a three-person contest between Warsh, Hassett, and Bessent — even though Bessent is not officially in the running.
“He’s not going to say no to the president if the president wants him to do it,” Moore said.
But Hassett is seen by advisers and allies of Trump as the frontrunner to replace Powell, Bloomberg reported, citing people familiar with the matter.
In terms of what President Trump’s pick would mean for the central bank, Moore said, “The question would be, will it be someone who is going to be an inflation fighter and someone who defends the dollar?”
Those are the two most critical tasks for the chair, he said: returning inflation to the Fed’s target of 2% and keeping it there, and defending the dollar, which has been falling.
TD Cowen analyst Jaret Seiberg thinks Warsh has the edge, though Hassett is a strong possibility as well, given that he has more frequent contact with the president as an adviser. Waller could emerge as a compromise candidate, Seiberg added.
“We would not describe any of the three leading contenders as traditional doves when it comes to monetary policy,” said Seiberg. “True that they have called for rate cuts in recent months, consistent with the president’s demands. Yet we see all as equally focused on price stability. It is why we believe all three would risk a confrontation with Trump if inflation became a top concern.”
Here’s a closer look at the contenders:
National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett has a close relationship with Trump, advising the president on economic policy. He also served in the first Trump administration.