Why the Ukraine war works in China’s favour | Lowey

https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/why-ukraine-war-works-china-s-favour

Posted by Garbage_Plastic

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  1. * China benefits from Russia’s isolation

    >Beijing gains politically and economically from Moscow’s rupture with the West, securing discounted Russian energy and expanding Chinese exports and brands in the Russian market.

    * Russia has become dependent on China

    >Cut off from Europe, Moscow now relies heavily on Beijing for energy sales, trade, infrastructure investment, and potentially military cooperation, effectively turning Russia into China’s junior partner.

    * Beijing has little incentive to end the war

    >As long as Russia remains bogged down in Ukraine, China enjoys cheap resources and greater leverage, reducing any urgency to pressure the Kremlin to halt military operations.

    * China maintains strategic ambiguity

    >While avoiding open support for Russia’s war aims, Beijing strengthens ties behind the scenes and adopts a neutral diplomatic stance on Ukraine to preserve flexibility and international standing.

    * Moscow is geopolitically trapped

    >Russia depends economically on China while hoping the United States can help end the war on favourable terms, leaving it caught between two rivals and with diminishing strategic autonomy.

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