As 2025 draws to a close, the GCC’s technology and startup ecosystem stands at an inflection point. The past year was characterised by stark contrasts and unmistakable momentum. Investment activity reached record levels, punctuated by moments of recalibration, as equity and debt capital flowed into the region at an unprecedented scale. The most crucial factor was not the quantity of capital deployed, but its strategic allocation into fewer, larger, and more structurally mature companies.
Several large financings, particularly in fintech and AI-adjacent infrastructure, reinforced a shift that has been building for years. Companies founded in the GCC are now accessing capital at a global scale, while conversations around IPO readiness, secondary liquidity, and private credit have moved from theory to practice. At the same time, governments across the region accelerated their adoption of AI, not as pilot programmes, but as foundational infrastructure shaping public services, regulation, and long-term economic planning.
These dynamics signal a deeper transformation underway. The ecosystem is no longer defined by experimentation alone but by execution, scale, and durability. AI, in particular, is no longer a future trend; it is becoming the operating system of the region’s next decade, influencing startup formation, labour markets, capital allocation, and government strategy.
Based on what we have observed as investors, partners, and participants in this market, the following ten forces are, in my view, the most important dynamics that will shape the GCC’s innovation landscape in 2026.
1. AI-native startups will dominate the next wave of innovation
The era of AI-enabled startups will continue, but the next generation will be AI-native: companies whose core product, workflows, and value propositions are built entirely around AI. These startups will scale faster, operate with leaner teams, and attract a disproportionate share of capital.
2. More capital, more startups, higher valuations
The GCC is experiencing a liquidity supercycle. Sovereign wealth funds, global investors, regional venture capital firms, and government-backed venture arms are deploying aggressively into technology. Valuations will rise, particularly across AI, deep tech, and infrastructure-focused plays.
3. In KSA and the UAE, IPO readiness has become a crucial factor
Saudi Arabia’s and the UAE’s capital markets are competing to become the region’s preferred exit routes. IPO readiness will become a strategic priority rather than an afterthought. A select group of unicorns, including Tabby, Tamara, and Salla, are increasingly positioned to test public markets.
4. Government adoption of AI in the GCC will accelerate aggressively
Governments across the GCC are moving quickly to deploy AI across public services. This top-down adoption will generate sustained demand for both local and global AI vendors and will shape procurement, regulation, and ecosystem priorities.
5. Entry-level jobs will become a clearer challenge
AI automation will disproportionately affect junior roles, including analysts, coordinators, customer support, and basic coding functions. The region will need to develop new pathways for youth employment and early-career talent development.
6. Education institutions will scramble as AI goes fully mainstream
Universities and schools are under increasing pressure to reinvent themselves. Traditional curricula will become obsolete faster than institutions can realistically adapt, creating a growing gap between education systems and market needs.
7. Corporate AI adoption will accelerate, then go exponential
Large enterprises in the GCC are moving from experimentation to full-scale AI deployment. Once return on investment becomes clear, adoption will shift from gradual to exponential across sectors.
8. Secondary markets will emerge as a major asset class
As venture funds approach the later stages of their life cycles and startup valuations rise alongside liquidity needs, secondary transactions will become essential. This will professionalise the ecosystem, provide early liquidity options, and further cement venture capital as a viable asset class with credible exits.
9. Global AI companies will expand in the region in terms of capital and energy.
Two strategic assets define the GCC’s growing importance in the AI era: capital and energy. Global AI labs are establishing operations in Abu Dhabi and Riyadh to access sovereign capital and long-term infrastructure, positioning the region as a global AI power centre.
10. More Chinese companies will enter the region, reshaping competition
Chinese technology giants and mid-tier players are expanding aggressively into the GCC. Their scale, speed, and pricing power will intensify competition, forcing regional companies to sharpen execution, partnerships, and long-term defensibility.