(Dec 30): Global exports of liquefied natural gas in 2025 likely saw the biggest jump in three years, as new supply came online in North America.
Exports are estimated to have risen 4% from last year to 429 million tonnes, according to Kpler, which tracks shipping data. That’d be the largest annual increase since 2022, when exports climbed 4.5% from the year before, the data showed. The rise was largely driven by projects like LNG Canada and Plaquemines in the US ramping up output.
The US is poised to cement its role as a major exporter, becoming the first ever to ship out more than 100 million tonnes of LNG this year. The nation is expected to continue adding supply, doubling output by the end of the decade and boosting exports in turn.
That will likely drag Asian and European gas prices lower. Already, Asian prices are near the lowest in a year while European futures have fallen more than 40% from the start of the year.
The additional output could also further tighten demand for vessels transporting the super-chilled fuel. Last month, the cost of sending LNG across the Atlantic Ocean reached the highest in almost two years as a surge in supply boosted demand for tankers.
December’s export figures are likely to hit a record of about 41 million tonnes, according to Kpler. China and Japan remain the world’s biggest buyers, tied for first place this year, the data showed.
Trading volumes of LNG are expected to continue growing 7.5% to 8% next year, driven by a wave of new supply and lower prices that should stimulate demand, Bloomberg Intelligence said in a note.