Winners and losers in 2045
Not all occupations are affected equally across this bumpy decade, according to the Conference Board’s report. People-facing roles that are less directly exposed to automation but benefit from stronger overall economic growth tend to be among the long-run winners.
In 2045, food-counter attendants, kitchen helpers and related support occupations are projected to have 21,187 more jobs than in the baseline; retail salespersons and visual merchandisers, 20,972 more; transport truck drivers, 15,978 more; nurse aides, orderlies and patient service associates, 15,318 more; and construction trades helpers and labourers, 9,591 more.
By contrast, some roles see net declines even once the economy has fully adjusted. The report identifies managers in agriculture (569 fewer jobs than baseline), health policy researchers, consultants and programme officers (935 fewer), specialised livestock workers and farm machinery operators (1,390 fewer), real estate agents and salespersons (1,758 fewer), and water and waste treatment plant operators (5,708 fewer) among those expected to experience job losses relative to the non‑AI scenario.
