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If you are wondering whether NextDecade’s current share price reflects its true worth, this article walks through the numbers so you can judge the value story for yourself.

The stock recently closed at US$4.86, after a 7.4% decline over the last 7 days and a 46.3% decline over the last year, which may change how investors view both its risk and potential upside.

Recent coverage around NextDecade has focused on its role in the US energy sector and ongoing development of its liquefied natural gas projects, which frame how investors think about the business. These themes provide useful context when you are weighing the recent 11.3% 30 day return decline and the 9.7% year to date pullback.

NextDecade currently has a valuation score of 2 out of 6, indicating it screens as undervalued on 2 of 6 checks. Next we will look at what different valuation methods say about that price tag before finishing with a more complete way to think about what the stock might be worth.

NextDecade scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes estimates of a company’s future cash flows and discounts them back to today’s dollars to arrive at an estimate of what the business could be worth now.

For NextDecade, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on cash flow projections in $. The latest twelve month free cash flow is a loss of $3,711.59 million. Analyst inputs and extrapolated estimates point to free cash flow moving to $1,853 million by 2030, with additional projections running through 2035. Simply Wall St uses analyst forecasts where available, then extends the series to build a ten year outlook.

After discounting these projected cash flows back to today, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of US$121.09 per share. Compared with the recent share price of US$4.86, this output suggests the stock screens as heavily undervalued based on this cash flow scenario.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests NextDecade is undervalued by 96.0%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 872 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.

NEXT Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026

NEXT Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026

Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for NextDecade.

For companies where earnings are not the main anchor yet, price to book, or P/B, is a useful way to think about valuation because it compares what you pay in the market with the accounting value of the assets behind each share.

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