US stocks wavered Wednesday after the S&P 500 (^GSPC) vaulted briefly over the 7,000 mark for the first time, as Wall Street waited for the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision and earnings from megacap techs.
The S&P 500 initially climbed on the heels of a record close, but subsequently pulled back about 0.1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) ticked up 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) hovered near the flatline.
Investors braced for the Fed’s first interest-rate decision of the year at the end of its two-day meeting later. It’s expected to leave rates unchanged in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, putting the spotlight on Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference comments for clues to future cuts. Markets are currently pricing in two quarter-point rate cuts by the end of 2026, according to CME FedWatch.
The recent slump in the dollar (DX-Y.NYB) could reshape those rate bets, given potential risks of an economic downturn. The US currency was stable Wednesday, after sinking to its lowest level since 2022 on Tuesday after President Trump brushed off the deepest drop in the dollar since his sweeping tariffs launched.
The rate decision also comes amid a period of political tension for the central bank, as the Trump administration in recent weeks opened a criminal investigation against Powell over his Senate testimony about renovations of the central bank’s headquarters. Markets are also watching for Trump to announce Powell’s successor, which Trump has said could happen any day now.
Meanwhile, techs are in the spotlight again as a surprise record surge in orders for ASML’s (ASML) chipmaking machines stoked optimism for a long-lasting AI boom. Shares in ASML turned lower, though the spirits boosted AI bellwether Nvidia (NVDA) and TSMC (TSM), which rely on the Dutch company’s gear to produce chips.
The developments have turned up focus on earnings from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META), which have invested heavily in an AI-focused data center buildout underpinned by those chips. The tech giants are scheduled to report results after the market close, alongside fellow “Magnificent Seven” megacap Tesla (TSLA). The reports set the stage for Apple’s (AAPL) quarterly update on Thursday.
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