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If you are wondering whether York Space Systems at around US$24.02 is starting to look like a potential bargain or still carries plenty of risk, the recent share price path gives you some important clues.
The stock has fallen about 31% over the past week and is down roughly 32.8% over the last month, with a year to date decline of about 28.5%. This can change how the market is pricing both growth potential and risk.
Recent coverage has focused on York Space Systems as a growing player in satellite manufacturing and space infrastructure, which has put a spotlight on how quickly the company might scale its contracts and backlog. This context is important because any shift in expectations around future project wins or capital needs can feed directly into sharp short term share price moves.
On Simply Wall St’s valuation checks, York Space Systems currently scores 4 out of 6. The rest of this article will walk through what that means across different valuation approaches while also pointing you to an even richer way to think about the stock’s value at the end.
Approach 1: York Space Systems Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes estimates of a company’s future cash flows and discounts them back to today’s dollars to arrive at an estimated intrinsic value per share.
For York Space Systems, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is a loss of $144.8 million, so the focus is on how future cash flows might change over time rather than current profitability. Analyst and extrapolated estimates indicate free cash flow of $274.0 million by 2030, with interim projections each year between 2026 and 2035 discounted back to today.
According to Simply Wall St’s calculations, those discounted projections translate into an estimated intrinsic value of about $38.44 per share. Compared with the recent share price of around $24.02, the DCF output indicates the stock is trading at roughly a 37.5% discount to that intrinsic value based on this model.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests York Space Systems is undervalued by 37.5%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 51 more high quality undervalued stocks.
YSS Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
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