
(Getty)
The 2026 FIFA World Cup could bring a £7.6bn boost to the UK economy, offering a welcome shot in the arm for pubs, restaurants and hospitality businesses at a time when growth remains fragile.
But economists and employers are being warned that the tournament could also trigger a sharp fall in workplace productivity, with millions of workers planning to call in sick, work from home or take unofficial time off after late-night matches.
New analysis by money.co.uk suggests the wider economy will benefit from a net gain of £7.6bn between May and July this year, as football fans flock to pubs, travel across the country to watch games and spend more on food, drink and entertainment.
The biggest winners are expected to be Britain’s hospitality businesses. Food and beverage companies are forecast to enjoy a £4.2bn revenue boost during the three-month period, a 9.3 per cent increase compared with a typical summer.
Accommodation providers are expected to see an even larger proportional increase, with spending rising by 25.2 per cent, generating an additional £3.5bn in revenue. Rail and transport operators could benefit from a further £1.8bn uplift as fans travel to screenings, pubs and social events.
Sports and recreation businesses are forecast to gain £3.1bn, while employment services and creative arts sectors are also expected to benefit from increased activity surrounding the tournament.
The prospect of a consumer spending surge will be welcomed after official figures showed the UK economy contracted by 0.1 per cent in April, while rising energy costs linked to tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on household finances and business confidence.
Yet the World Cup’s economic impact is unlikely to be entirely positive.
Separate research suggests that millions of workers are already planning to prioritise football over work, potentially costing employers billions of pounds in lost output.
A survey by brewing company Allsopp’s found that one in five Britons intends to pull a “sickie” after at least one World Cup match. That equates to almost 6.9 million workers and could result in an estimated £2.4bn hit to economic output.
If England progress deep into the tournament, the cost could rise dramatically. Researchers estimate that repeated absences following England matches could cost as much as £7.3bn during the group stages and up to £16.9bn if the Three Lions reach the final.
The problem may be compounded by widespread remote working. More than a third of respondents said they planned to work from home rather than take annual leave, while separate research from VoucherCodes found 61 per cent of fans would work remotely if it allowed them to watch matches.
Story continues