The Morning Catch-Up: ASX set to edge higher as Wall Street steadies and oil rebounds

The Morning Catch-Up: ASX set to edge higher as Wall Street steadies and oil rebounds Proactive uses images sourced from Shutterstock

Australian shares are expected to open slightly higher today after a volatile session on Wall Street, where US equities fought for gains despite pressure from major technology stocks.

S&P/ASX 200 futures were up 9 points, or 0.1%, to 8,755, suggesting a modestly firmer start for the local market.

The positive lead comes as global investors weigh stronger economic data, higher commodity prices and renewed geopolitical concerns after a UK maritime agency reported that a cargo ship was hit while attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices rallied more than 2% on the news, reigniting concerns over Middle East supply routes.

Resources drag ASX lower yesterday

The Australian share market closed lower on Thursday, weighed down by resources stocks as oil and gold prices fell and a stronger-than-expected jobs report added uncertainty to the interest rate outlook.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 59.70 points, or 0.7%, to 8,748.70 at the close, with 4 of the 11 sectors finishing in negative territory.

Markets focused on Australian labour market data, which showed the unemployment rate falling to 4.4%, while 40,300 jobs were added in May, well above forecasts.

Bell Potter’s Richard Coppleson said the stronger employment print “pretty much cements an RBA rate hike”, adding that the market, led by banks, sold off after the data.

Bond traders are pricing in about a 20% chance of an interest rate increase in August and a 48% chance by the end of the year.

Energy was the weakest sector as oil prices fell. Woodside Energy dropped 2.9% to $27.43 and Santos lost 2.8% to $7.04.

Materials also came under pressure as gold miners retreated. Newmont fell 3.1% to $134.37, Northern Star dropped 3.3% to $19.92 and BHP lost 1.7% to $58.52.

Banks were weaker, led by Judo Capital, which plunged 40.4% to a 2023 low of 91.5 cents after issuing a profit downgrade linked to a spike in bad loans and higher risk-management costs.

Among the big 4 banks, National Australia Bank fell 3.4% to $37.45, while Westpac, ANZ and Commonwealth Bank lost between 1% and 2%.

Defensive stocks found support, with healthcare the strongest sector. CSL rose 2.3% to $117.65 and Cochlear gained 2.7% to $116.55, while Coles and Woolworths both rose more than 1%.

Wall Street mixed as Big Tech weighs

US share markets were mixed on Thursday as losses across major technology stocks weighed on the Nasdaq, while strength in industrials helped the Dow edge higher.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 0.1%, the S&P 500 was broadly flat and the Nasdaq fell 0.5%.

All of the Magnificent 7 technology stocks declined. Apple was the main drag, falling 6.2% after announcing price increases across Mac computers, iPads, home devices and its Vision Pro headset.

The company said the 15%-plus price rises were needed to offset higher costs linked to an ongoing shortage of memory chips and storage.

Nvidia, Microsoft and Alphabet also fell, losing between 0.8% and 3.5%.

Semiconductor stocks were mixed but several memory-chip names rallied after Micron Technology reported strong quarterly results and issued an upbeat outlook. Micron jumped 15.7%, while Qualcomm rose 4%.

Sandisk surged 22%, Western Digital gained 4.9% and Seagate Technology added 3.2%. A key semiconductor index rose 3.6%.

Caterpillar climbed 6.3%, helping lift the Dow to an intraday high, while the industrial sector led S&P 500 gains with a 2% rise.

US government bond yields were mixed after May inflation data came in slightly softer than some investors had feared.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.1% in May, its highest reading since April 2023. It gained 0.4% for the month, below consensus expectations.

The US 10-year Treasury yield was steady at 4.40%, while the US 2-year Treasury yield slipped 1 point to 4.13%.

Europe closes at record high

European share markets closed at a record high on Thursday, supported by healthcare stocks and early strength in technology shares following upbeat forecasts from Micron and Qualcomm.

The continent-wide FTSEurofirst 300 Index ended 0.9% higher, while the UK FTSE 100 added 0.7%.

Healthcare stocks were among the strongest contributors, rising 1.5%.

Bayer jumped 19% after a US Supreme Court decision reined in thousands of lawsuits alleging the company failed to warn users that the active ingredient in its Roundup weedkiller causes cancer.

Technology stocks gave back some early gains but still finished 0.8% higher.

Currencies mixed

Currencies were mixed against the US dollar.

The euro was steady at US$1.1363.

The Japanese yen was flat at 161.75 yen.

The Australian dollar added 0.1% to US69.13 cents.

The Aussie had been trading around US68.97 cents at the local market close on Thursday after stronger Australian jobs data lifted expectations of further RBA tightening.

Commodities rebound

Oil prices climbed after a cargo vessel was hit by an unknown projectile near Oman, raising concerns about the stability of Middle East oil flows.

Base metals rebounded as investors hunted for bargains and the US dollar softened.

Copper futures rose 2.1% and aluminium gained 1.8%.

Gold futures also rose after US inflation data pressured the dollar and bond yields. Gold settled 1% higher at US$4,048 an ounce.

Iron ore futures were steady, slipping 0.1% to US$100.37 a tonne.

Looking ahead

In Australia, RBA Governor Michelle Bullock is due to speak at an overseas panel in Switzerland over the weekend.

In the US, investors will watch for the revised University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey for June.