On Tuesday, France will look to punch a ticket to their third consecutive World Cup final. On the other side, Spain will look to get back to the final for the first time since they hoisted the trophy in 2010.
One key storyline heading into this matchup between two powerhouses is the health of both teams and especially the health of Kylian Mbappe, who might be the most feared and dangerous player in the world right now.
Mbappe was subbed off in the 77th minute of France’s quarterfinal win over Morocco due to an ankle injury. However, Mbappe insisted he was “completely fine” and there is little concern over his status for Tuesday’s game.
Manu Kone was also subbed out in the 71st minute against Morocco due to a minor knee issue and some fatigue. His withdrawal also appeared to be precautionary and he should be available.
There is less optimism surrounding the status of Aurelien Tchouameni who has missed the last two games after suffering a muscle injury in training way back on July 3rd.
On the other side, France is expected to have Yeremy Pino and Nico Williams available for selection after both missed time earlier in the tournament.
With a spot in the World Cup Final on the line, Polymarket has updated the odds for France’s game against Spain on Tuesday.
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With fresh lineup data and prop markets locked in, Dimers has refreshed its data models for Tuesday’s massive France-Spain clash. By contrasting traditional betting lines with Polymarket data, their analysts ran new simulations to lock down the highest-value betting strategies featured in our match preview below.
France vs. Spain betting preview
Featuring the likes of Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembélé, France are aiming to beat a Spain team that is led by Pedri and Rodri.
Check out all the important details on this game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top prediction markets in the country.
Game details
The key information you need before the France vs. Spain World Cup game.
Teams: France vs. SpainDate: Tuesday, July 14th, 2026Time: 3:00 p.m. ESTLocation: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)Odds
The latest and best predictions for the World Cup matchup between France and Spain, according to Polymarket.
Spread: 20% chance France wins by 2+ goalsMoneyline: 41% chance France wins the game in regulation timeTotal: 51% chance there are more than 2.5 goals scored
The odds and percentages featured in this article are the best available from Polymarket at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Expert prediction: France vs. Spain
Using state-of-the-art data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday’s matchup between France and Spain.
According to Dimers’ popular predictive analytics model, France are favorites to win in Texas. This prediction is based on the model giving France a 39.5% chance of winning the game, which also accounts for the possibility of a draw in regular time.
As always, these predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
France vs. Spain best prediction
Our top pick for the France vs. Spain game on Tuesday is to predict Under 2.5 goals.
This advice is based on comprehensive simulations and valuable intelligence, designed to bring you the best possible plays.
World Cup Prediction Markets:
Local France or Spain fans in New York, California, Texas, and most other states can now use prediction markets to trade on soccer as an alternative to typical betting. Here are our top options, and available promo codes for new users:
World Cup Thursday: France vs. Spain
Get ready for Tuesday’s matchup between France and Spain in the World Cup in Texas, which is scheduled to start at 3 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the World Cup predictions and World Cup best bets on this page are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the France vs. Spain matchup, and they are correct at the time of publishing to help you make more informed choices when placing bets at online sportsbooks and prediction markets.
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