Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022)

30 comments
  1. Electoral Calculus (Proposed 2023 Boundaries):

    Labour – 571 (+368)

    Conservatives – 2 (-363)

    Lib Dems – 6 (-5)

    Greens – 1

    SNP – 51 (+3)

    Plaid – 1 (-3)

    NI – 18

  2. Holy fucking shit — a **THIRTY THREE** point lead?!!! I’m just sitting here shaking my head — finally, the British people have woken up to this unremitting Tory shitshow 🎉 🎉 🎉

  3. Much as I’d love this Starmer would have a nightmare trying to control a party with a near total hold on Parliament.

  4. I’d take this with a massive pinch of salt. While the data says that only 37% of 2019 tory voters are planning to vote tory next election, the next biggest chunk is “Don’t know” at 26%. A lot of these are people who fully intend to vote conservative at the next election, but don’t report as such out of shame (see: 2015 election)

  5. People at CCHQ suddenly start to hear *”Things Can Only Get Better”* playing off in the distance and slowly growing louder…

  6. Truss is toast if this is a pattern and not an outlier. As soon as the likes of Brady, Baker, Bridgen and Co feel genuinely at risk they will jettison her quicker than you can imagine.

  7. More realistic (but still glorious) Electoral Calculus:

    LAB: 498 (+296)

    CON: 61 (-304)

    SNP: 36 (-12)

    LDM: 29 (+18)

    PLC: 4 (=)

    Others: 2 (+2)

    GRN: 1 (=)

    NI: 18

    Labour Majority of 346

  8. I think if she’s got any political survival instinct at all, she’ll pin this all on Kami-Kwasi and shove him under the proverbial bus.

  9. Remember that a poll is a snapshot, not a prediction.

    But no wonder Starmer isn’t calling for her resignation in that Sky News interview. She’s an absolute gold mine.

  10. The honeymoon period for this government lasted less than two weeks, on an opinion poll conducted 2 weeks ago (11–12 Sep) she managed to shorten the lead Labour had by 5pts, and now it’s a massive difference.

  11. If anyone is wondering why Sir Keir is somewhat closer to the centre than Corbyn, this is why.

    Not everyone who votes conservative is a True Believer ^(tm). Plenty are people who vote for what seems like the most sensible option, and all Starmer has had to do is be the grownup in the room. “I like Keir, he seems sensible” is literally all it takes.

    People can see the actual effects of these policies. There’s RARELY as clear a cause and reaction as this one. People have felt it in their pockets, and the papers are ACTUALLY reporting what’s happening.

  12. It would be one of the greatest days of my life if I woke up the day after a GE and saw the Tories with two seats. Just two. Sat next to each other right up at the back, in the corner, looking sad.

  13. *”Any other Labour leader would be… wait…”*

    When Starmer became Leader of the Opposition nobody in this country would have dreamed that he’d get this far, not even himself.

    While he gets some credit for it, most of it goes to how horrible the Tories have been over the last year. This is without a doubt the worst government the UK has had this century, but is it also the worst compared to the previous century?

  14. Who the fuck is still voting Tory? They’re even fucking with boomer pension pots and upper middle class mortgage rates. Who is left to vote for them?!

  15. The Conservatives in Canada got wiped out and went down to 2 seats in 1993. It took them 13 years and a merger with another party to get back in power.

  16. Liz Truss has done what Boris Johnson couldn’t. She’s destroyed any chance of the Tories winning the next election, not through political scandal but through sweeping tax cuts and socialized losses that have plunged the British Pound into freefall and likely caused generations of economic damage.

    Is she really that fucking dumb, or was this a game of 4D chess intended to sabotage the Conservative Party from within?

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