These polls were not really good at predicting the results of the 2020 election, severely underestimating LP and TS-LKD and overestimating LT and LSDP just days before the actual vote.
Vilmorus polls were completely off compared to the actual results, so unless they’ve fixed their polling methods there’s no point in taking those polls too seriously. It seems that Spinter tyrimai were closest to the real results, and they showed that in October TS-LKD were leading over LSDP by 3.7% while LP had more than 5%, so it’s not too bad for the current majority.
I’m not sure what to think of the current party leader of the LSDP, but their (that of the party) political ideology is preferable, in my opinion, to the Christian Democrats. Recent news have only made my opinion of them better.
In the end, however, we see what a party is like after they actually get voted in. Though, I do feel like the LSDP would have a lot of work ahead of them to undo the damage the current majority has done.
LSDP is pretty much a dead horse. It would be a shitshow if they would win.
Personally I see a lot of potential in a DSVL-LSDP coalition. Even if the polls might not be the most trustworthy, a point to note is that no Lithuanian government (unless memory escapes me) has been re-elected in the modern era.
DSVL is basically all of the people that made the LVŽS government tolerable, i.e. progressive pro-European centre-left “youth” that actually held environmentalist views, e.g. Tomilinas, Sinkevičius (unless he’s independent now, I might be incorrect), Savickas, etc. Or in other words, LVŽS without the pro-putin racist anti-vax homophobes.
It would be interesting to see how they would meld with LSDP. I admittedly voted for them the last election, but following the fat L they took they’ve become a party with no direction that has basically sold out to their rural electorate, besides a few token exceptions.
With the Pension Mother at the helm of the government, I assume a lot of spending to look like the good guys. I would like to believe that losing the old “beavers” would make it slightly better than the past couple socialdemocratic governments. The most likely coalition partners are Democrats and Farmers (I will never call them green, cause they are embarrassment to actual green parties) both of which I would love to never be near a government again.
I think this is the first government that is so often seen abroad since we have an actual English-speaking PM and we’ve got quite an aggressive anti-russian rhetoric now that people are actually listening. I would assume that with blinkė as PM we would become a lot more passive than we are now.
In terms of relationship with EU nothing would change.
For relations with Europe? Nothing, really. There is a broad consensus nobody dares to break. One issue could be defense spending – LSDP always seem reluctant to do that, no matter circumstances. And it should be clear by now we need as much firepower as we can get, setting example for other European nations, as well.
LSDP and DSVL basically is communists parties, LVŽS and LP after next elections will disappear from political map. The winner will be the one who distributes more promises. 🙂 Plus TS-LKD now in charge, so for pro-russians and for illiterates they are like cross for the devil 🙂
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Wait, who is currently in the coalition?
These polls were not really good at predicting the results of the 2020 election, severely underestimating LP and TS-LKD and overestimating LT and LSDP just days before the actual vote.
Vilmorus polls were completely off compared to the actual results, so unless they’ve fixed their polling methods there’s no point in taking those polls too seriously. It seems that Spinter tyrimai were closest to the real results, and they showed that in October TS-LKD were leading over LSDP by 3.7% while LP had more than 5%, so it’s not too bad for the current majority.
I’m not sure what to think of the current party leader of the LSDP, but their (that of the party) political ideology is preferable, in my opinion, to the Christian Democrats. Recent news have only made my opinion of them better.
In the end, however, we see what a party is like after they actually get voted in. Though, I do feel like the LSDP would have a lot of work ahead of them to undo the damage the current majority has done.
LSDP is pretty much a dead horse. It would be a shitshow if they would win.
Personally I see a lot of potential in a DSVL-LSDP coalition. Even if the polls might not be the most trustworthy, a point to note is that no Lithuanian government (unless memory escapes me) has been re-elected in the modern era.
DSVL is basically all of the people that made the LVŽS government tolerable, i.e. progressive pro-European centre-left “youth” that actually held environmentalist views, e.g. Tomilinas, Sinkevičius (unless he’s independent now, I might be incorrect), Savickas, etc. Or in other words, LVŽS without the pro-putin racist anti-vax homophobes.
It would be interesting to see how they would meld with LSDP. I admittedly voted for them the last election, but following the fat L they took they’ve become a party with no direction that has basically sold out to their rural electorate, besides a few token exceptions.
With the Pension Mother at the helm of the government, I assume a lot of spending to look like the good guys. I would like to believe that losing the old “beavers” would make it slightly better than the past couple socialdemocratic governments. The most likely coalition partners are Democrats and Farmers (I will never call them green, cause they are embarrassment to actual green parties) both of which I would love to never be near a government again.
I think this is the first government that is so often seen abroad since we have an actual English-speaking PM and we’ve got quite an aggressive anti-russian rhetoric now that people are actually listening. I would assume that with blinkė as PM we would become a lot more passive than we are now.
In terms of relationship with EU nothing would change.
For relations with Europe? Nothing, really. There is a broad consensus nobody dares to break. One issue could be defense spending – LSDP always seem reluctant to do that, no matter circumstances. And it should be clear by now we need as much firepower as we can get, setting example for other European nations, as well.
LSDP and DSVL basically is communists parties, LVŽS and LP after next elections will disappear from political map. The winner will be the one who distributes more promises. 🙂 Plus TS-LKD now in charge, so for pro-russians and for illiterates they are like cross for the devil 🙂