Adjusting for rising average maternal age, fertility rates in developed economies are not quite as low as typically reported

23 comments

1. Well there’s still only 1 country that has higher fertility than the replacement rate. Yes there’s a difference but idk how impactful that is.

2. Ponugalcykablyat

3. Important to note that 2% is the replacement rates. So a rate <2% is a shrinking population.

4. The source is?

5. Not bad news. I wonder why Spain’s population keeps increasing very rapidly in the past two decades, maybe lower TFR is good for population control.

6. what’s tempo adjusted increment ?

7. i blame inflation on this, it makes people focus on money more than living

8. “adjusted for rising maternal age”.

   I mean if you are doing all these adjustments, why don’t you adjust by removing childfree people also?

9. this is some pretty silly coping

10. Israel is NOT a developed economy

11. That’s the first time I’ve seen my country spelled like that, Portugal

12. Lol, well, demographic doom is baked in.

    Especially as migrant background families have a much higher birth rate than Europeans further scewing the stats.

13. Yes !

    We breed more than Netherlands , Hungary and Austria !

14. Children of older women tend to have more health issues and things like autism. It’s unfortunate but true. Isn’t it great that we have societies where it’s so difficult for couples to have children at a healthy young age and be financially secure?

15. What is “Ponugal” ?

16. Ok so things are looking really bad rather than really really bad? nice

17. Lol, you should simply not adjust for the average maternal age if you care about the actual effect on demographics…

    “We have like 0.3 children per women, but our 45 y/o are the most fertile in the world”

18. And South Korea want to increase their work week to 69 hours

19. We should oficiall change out nation’s name to “Ponuguese Republic”, Ponugal is jsut so great

20. That’s an explanation of the low numbers, not an adjustment to reality.

21. makes no sense to calculate it like that. TFR measures number of children born per woman within a year, it doesnt underestimate anything, while this method manipulates numbers by adding ghost numbers (future children)

22. The replacement rate is 2.1
    None of these, except for Israel are at or above replacement level

23. Ponugal