Turkish election poll from one of the most reputable pollsters

22 comments
  1. If we ignore the last three options:

    > Kilicdaroglu- 46.9
    >
    > Erdogan – 45.2
    >
    > Ince – 5.5
    >
    > Ogan – 2.4

  2. We need a guide for these pollsters.

    For example Orthus, Optimar and ASAL put Erdogan in the lead.

    While MetroPoll, BirGun, TAG, Yonleyem, SAROS, Avrasya put KK in the lead.

    Which ones are objective? And which ones are biased in favor of a candidate?

  3. A tiny little fact about Ince: If politicians are not nominated by a party in the parliament, they need to collect 100 thousand signatures to become candidates. Ince managed to collect those signatures in FOUR DAYS. To compare, in 2018 Elections, Meral Aksener (leader of the IYI) collected 100 thousand signatures in only 4 hours.

    Someone who got 25 thousand votes per day is not going to get 5% of the votes. Ince is going to be incredibly disappointed when he sees the results and probably disappear from the face of the earth, just like he did back in 2018 while his voters were waiting for an explanation.

  4. At this point it is nearly impossible for the election to be over at the first round.

    Also, İnce is **not** going to get 5%. He could collect the 100.000 signatures necessary to stand for election only in four days. How many of those 100.000 people that he (barely) could ask for signatures will actually vote for him?

  5. I’ve seen Metropoll criticised on accuracy recently because of financial stuff I believe. People say KONDA is more reliable

  6. Lam I the only one who think Erdogan will somehow edge it out? Maybe cheating, maybe not, but right wing politics usually overperform on election days compared to polls.

  7. So any Turks have idea how will the remaining votes likely split in second round? There is second round right?

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